The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica B 42.3%
Draw 28.9%
Lusitânia 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.3%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
25.8%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.
Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
8.3%
25%
Benfica B - Lusitânia Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 40% – 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 4 - 50%). Lusitânia (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Benfica B (1.50) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
AH 0 - Benfica B (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Lusitânia (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Ferreira D. (G) 55. Fonseca J. 85. Ferreira M. 64. Oliveira G. 79. Pinto K. 73. Figueiredo M. 86. Prioste D. (C) 62. Neto J. 67. Rego R. 91. Silva F. 84. Rego J.
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 3. Josue Sa 5. Silverio (C) 22. Faria B. 29. Cerveira T. 12. Arsenio 8. Tokinho Doria 16. Rocha L. 11. Pereira M. 99. Platiny 21. Joao Vasco
Substitutes
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 87. Edokpolor P. 59. Martins L. 77. Moreira G. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 94. Silva R. 74. Tome O. 96. Trevisan J.
74. Braga G. 60. Danny 7. Martins R. 28. Mesquita T. 19. Palacios A. 9. Silva J. 23. Sousa M. (G) 88. Teixeira M. 77. Tiago Dias
Coaches
Verissimo N.
Miguel Pedro
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Platiny ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
29', Silverio 🟨,
40', Figueiredo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Cerveira T. 🟨,
61', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
63', Figueiredo M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
63', Silverio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
63', Cerveira T. ↓, Danny ↑,
68', Rego J. 🟨,
69', Silva F. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
69', Neto J. ↓, Tome O. ↑,
73', Faria B. 🟨,
77', Joao Vasco ↓, Silva J. ↑,
77', Faria B. ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Tiago Dias ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
84', Pinto K. ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
84', Ferreira M. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Pereira M. ⚽, Tiago Dias (A),
90', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
90+2', Silva J. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 2, Prioste D. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
Benfica B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lusitânia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Benfica B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benfica B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Africa
Watch
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Ferreira D. (G) 
Vitor Hugo (G) 
de Sousa T. 
Edokpolor P. 
Trevisan J. 
Palacios A. 
