Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)


	Luton Town		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.90	4.10
	1.83	3.95	3.90
	1.65	4.11	4.6	Watch
	1.78	3.85	3.80
	1.80	3.84	3.94	Watch
	1.78	3.80	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.88)	3.91 ↑ (3.76)	4.05 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
52.9%

Draw
23.9%

Doncaster Rovers
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.6%

24.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Postponed due to international match.

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 16th and 21st in the Relegation - League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.

In recent outings, Luton has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Doncaster is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Luton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Luton has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Luton carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Luton: Ashby H. (Red Card) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Benagr B. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury) Morris S. (Inactive) Sandal S. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Doncaster: Collins J. (Knee Injury) Nixon T. (Inactive) Okoronkwo F. (Hamstring Injury) Pearson M. (Injury) Sterry J. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Luton has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:5 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Luton against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:1 goals (averaging 2.7:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Luton	10	4	2	4	19:18	1	14
19	Doncaster	10	2	3	5	10:13	-3	9

Outrights of English League One for now

Luton: 7.52% Doncaster: 0.99%

Last Results with these Odds

Doncaster Rovers - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.56%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League One
20.10.26	Luton Town - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.10.26	Colchester United - Luton Town	1:2 penalties ✺
22.09.26	Luton Town - Ipswich Town U21	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
20.10.26	Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Leicester City - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Doncaster Rovers - Liverpool U21	1:0 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Peterborough United - Doncaster Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.03.26	Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town	1:1
27.09.25	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:0
23.03.19	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	4:0
08.09.18	Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town	2:1
English League Two
18.02.17	Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town	1:1
24.09.16	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:1

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