The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 54.5%
Draw 24.5%
Burton Albion 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.9%
25.7%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
24.9%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 27. Grehan S. 12. Byrne N. 6. McGrath J. 11. Ayinde L. 22. Gotts R. 8. Broadbent G. 19. Thomas J. 4. Bailey O. (C) 10. May A. 9. Hanlan B.
34. Addai C. (G) 26. Delap F. 12. Evans G. 16. Tilt C. (C) 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 14. Collar W. 4. Chauke K. 3. Armer J. 18. Vickers C. 8. Webster C. 19. Dennis M.
Substitutes
47. Adelakun H. 42. Clarke J. (G) 15. Clifton H. 50. Hartley D. 21. Hutchinson I. 16. Nixon T. 20. Robinson D.
29. Adom K. 24. Araujo H. 9. Arubi G. 32. Kean J. (G) 41. Krubally S. 6. Sibbick T. 20. Sraha J.
Coaches
McCann G.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Thomas J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,
39', Dennis M. 🟨,
41', Bailey O. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Ayinde L. ⚽, May A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Collar W. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
70', Gotts R. 🟨,
71', Dennis M. ↓, Arubi G. ↑,
71', Webster C. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
74', Hanlan B. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
80', Ayinde L. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
80', Armer J. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
84', Araujo H. 🟨,
89', Adelakun H. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 21st in the Relegation - League Two and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Burton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Doncaster is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Doncaster: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Burton: O'Mahony M.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Doncaster: Pearson M.
(Injury)
Sterry J.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Burton: Arubi G.
(Inactive).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Doncaster has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Doncaster against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Burton
12
3
5
4
16:18
-2
14
19
Doncaster
10
2
3
5
10:13
-3
9
Outrights of English League One for now
Doncaster: 0.99% Burton: 0.57%
Last Results with these Odds
Doncaster Rovers - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.92%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Burton Albion - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.37%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.