The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 66.3%
Draw 18.8%
Barnsley 14.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.7%
21.7%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
20.6%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luton Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
25%
8.3%
Luton Town - Barnsley Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Barnsley will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 40% โ 93.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shea J. (G) 2. Odoffin H. 5. Andersen M. 6. Johnston G. 3. Naismith K. (C) 8. Walsh L. 17. Mendel-Idowu T. 18. Clark J. 10. Donley J. 45. Palmer K. 21. Wells N.
1. Slicker C. (G) 11. Noslin T. 6. O'Riordan C. 5. Shepherd J. 2. Kay A. 8. McGeehan C. (C) 22. Kelly P. 32. Brownlie R. 45. Yoganathan V. 19. Cleary R. 7. Adeyemo T.
Substitutes
44. Cole D. 12. Johnson J. 25. Jones I. 24. Keeley J. (G) 11. Lawrence E. 9. Marshall C. 7. Richards J.
30. Bland J. 4. Gale S. 9. Kirk M. 3. Larkeche Z. 12. Okedina J. 25. Ravenhill R. (G) 17. Richards A.
Coaches
Wilshere J.
Stendel D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Andersen M. ⚽, Donley J. (A),
41', Odoffin H. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Wells N. ⚽, Johnston G. (A),
45+2', Andersen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Noslin T. ↓, Okedina J. ↑,
46', Brownlie R. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
46', O'Riordan C. ↓, Larkeche Z. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Kirk M. ⚽, Kelly P. (A),
61', Mendel-Idowu T. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
74', Adeyemo T. ↓, Richards A. ↑,
75', Richards J. 🟨,
79', Wells N. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
79', Palmer K. ↓, Lawrence E. ↑,
83', Yoganathan V. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
90', Richards A. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 16th and 21st in the Relegation - League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.
Luton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barnsley is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Barnsley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Luton is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Benagr B.
(Injury)
Kodua G.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sandal S.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Barnsley: Jalo F.
(Inactive)
Larkeche Z.
(Inactive)
Smith I.
(Inactive)
Toure B.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Barnsley: Kirk M.
(Inactive).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Luton has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Luton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Luton
12
6
2
4
24:20
4
20
23
Barnsley
11
2
2
7
11:21
-10
8
Outrights of English League One for now
Luton: 9.09% Barnsley: 0.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Luton Town - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Shea J. (G) 
Andersen M. 
Johnston G. 
Donley J. 
Palmer K. 
Wells N. 
Noslin T. 
O'Riordan C. 
Brownlie R. 
Yoganathan V. 
Adeyemo T. 
Jones I. 
Larkeche Z. 
Okedina J. 
Stendel D. 
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