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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 37.4%
Draw 25.1%
Doncaster Rovers 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
26.4%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
26.3%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Peterborough United - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 2. Johnston C. (C) 12. Feeney J. 26. Okagbue D. 14. Mills H. 4. Kelly L. 7. Jones H. 19. Shofowoke B. 9. Leonard H. 11. Edwards O. 27. Ormerod D.
1. Simkin T. (G) 27. Grehan S. 12. Byrne N. 3. Husband J. 11. Ayinde L. 8. Broadbent G. 22. Gotts R. 23. Senior J. 4. Bailey O. (C) 10. May A. 9. Hanlan B.
Substitutes
23. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 45. Ashfield H. 20. Conn-Clarke C. 18. Mendonca L. 3. Weir E. 10. Williams E. 16. Woods B.
42. Clarke J. (G) 21. Hutchinson I. 25. McCann B. 6. McGrath J. 7. O'Reilly T. 20. Robinson D. 19. Thomas J.
Coaches
Williams L.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, May A. ⚽, Ayinde L. (A),
36', Feeney J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', May A. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
64', Jones H. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
65', Kelly L. ↓, Woods B. ↑,
73', Ayinde L. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
76', Edwards O. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
84', Hanlan B. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
85', Johnston C. ↓, Conn-Clarke C. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
90+2', Leonard H. 🟨,
90+2', Senior J. 🟨,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 21st in the Relegation ~ League Two and 24th in the Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
Peterborough has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Doncaster has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Doncaster could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Frith D.
(Inactive)
Garbett M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Masara V.
(Inactive)
O'Connor T.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Doncaster: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Nixon T.
(Inactive)
Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Peterborough: Johnston C.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Doncaster: Sterry J.
(Injury).
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:21 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peterborough against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
Outrights of English League One for now
Doncaster: 1.24% Peterborough: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Doncaster
8
2
3
3
9:9
0
9
20
Peterborough
9
2
2
5
7:14
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Bass A. (G) 
Johnston C. (C) 
Okagbue D. 
Andeng Ndi C. (G) 
Ashfield H. 
Mendonca L. 
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