Match Info

Super League - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Thermoplan Arena (Luzern)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Luzern		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.70	3.10
	1.92	3.65	3.3
	2.13	3.98	3.23
	2.09	3.89	3.16	Watch
	2.07	3.9	3.1
	2.06	3.8	3.14	Watch
	2.06	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.98)	3.8 ↓ (4.02)	3.18 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
45.8%

Draw
24.7%

Lausanne-Sport
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

23.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luzern - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Letica K. (G) 20. Dorn P. (C) 13. Freimann B. H. 46. Freimann B. 14. Ciganiks A. 24. Owusu T. 80. Zimmermann M. 6. Bertone L. 11. Di Giusto M. 16. Kabwit O. 19. Mikolajewski D.	90. Mastil M. (G) 2. Soppy B. 3. Fredricson T. 71. Sow K. 18. Poaty M. 8. Roche J. 10. Custodio O. (C) 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 80. Kone S. 91. Mollet F. 78. Janneh O.
Substitutes
22. Dantas Fernandes R. 5. Knezevic S. 21. Luthi L. 71. Meyer S. 10. Silva L. 1. Simoni S. (G) 15. Toggenburger N. 29. Winkler L. 17. Wyss S.	20. Abdallah H. 7. Ajdini A. 6. Bergvall T. 1. Castella T. (G) 22. Cordier T. 9. Molebe E. 47. N'Diaye S. 5. Ngonzo D. 17. Traore S.
Coaches
Portmann J.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Di Giusto M. ⚽,
21', Custodio O. 🟨,
22', Owusu T. 🟨,
39', Sow K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fredricson T. ↓, Ngonzo D. ↑,
58', Kone S. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
58', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
65', Zimmermann M. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
69', Bertone L. 🟨,
71', Roche J. ↓, N'Diaye S. ↑,
73', Mollet F. 🟨,
76', Janneh O. 🟨,
83', Freimann B. H. ↓, Knezevic S. ↑,
83', Kabwit O. ↓, Meyer S. ↑,
84', Mollet F. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
90+2', Di Giusto M. ↓, Wyss S. ↑,
90+2', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Toggenburger N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 3.

Luzern is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lausanne-Sport has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Luzern could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Abdallah H. (Knee Injury) Beloko N. (Muscle Injury) N'Diaye S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Luzern: 1.66% Lausanne: 0.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Luzern	9	3	3	3	17:18	-1	12
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7:15	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Sion - Luzern	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Luzern - Thun	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Luzern - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Wil 1900 - Luzern	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Cup
14.08.26	Kosova Neuchatel - Lausanne-Sport	0:6 ✺
Swiss Super League
08.08.26	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Basel - Lausanne-Sport	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Saint-Étienne - Lausanne-Sport	4:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
25.07.26	Lausanne-Sport - Grasshoppers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
02.05.26	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	1:3
22.03.26	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	4:0
21.12.25	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	0:4
19.10.25	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	2:2
11.05.25	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	1:1
30.03.25	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	1:4
19.01.25	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	0:0

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