Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Luzino		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.20	4.50
	1.50	4.10	4.70
	1.58	4.16	4.14
	1.49	4.64	4.87	Watch
	1.56	4.10	4.05
	1.51	4.33	4.63	Watch
	1.59	4	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)	4.22 ↑ (4)	4.41 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luzino
58.4%

Draw
21.2%

Lech Poznań 2
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Luzino - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Sledzinski E. ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 3, Kurbiel P. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Sosnowski F. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 4, Stankiewicz I. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 7th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Lech 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Luzino for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Luzino has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Luzino against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luzino	14	9	1	4	38:20	18	28
6	Lech Poznan II	13	6	3	4	28:26	2	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.10.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Luzino	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Luzino - Wda Świecie	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Elana Toruń - Luzino	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Luzino - Noteć Czarnków	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
14.10.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	1:4 ✺
10.10.26	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Elana Toruń - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.02.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Luzino	1:2
15.08.25	Luzino - Lech Poznań 2	4:3

Upcoming Matches