Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 27

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Lyn

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.15
	1.83	3.85	4.45
	1.72	3.94	4.04	Watch
	1.78	3.81	4.07	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	3.83 ↓ (3.93)	4.07 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
52.6%

Draw
24.4%

Lyn
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

23.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

24.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Aalesunds - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: Aalesunds will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aalesunds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 15. Skuseth N. 7. Nesso K. 16. Orsahl J. 8. Melland H. 6. Hammer H. 21. Christensen M. 39. Lonebu K. 9. Ngongo P. (C)	1. Pedersen A. (G) 55. Haugen S. 4. Sell W. (C) 6. Midtskogen A. 18. Nilsen H. 5. Bydal E. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 21. Skaug J. 10. Johansen M. 11. Hellum A.
Substitutes
29. Boe J. 23. Froysa E. 3. Gudmundsson O. 19. Heiselberg F. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 17. Myrlid E. 36. Ytterland T.	17. Arzani D. 27. Barnett I. 25. Ingebrigtsen M. 14. Isufi E. 19. Myhre T. 28. Niang M. 12. Wold J. (G)
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Hammer H. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Lonebu K. ⚽, Orsahl J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Olsen A. ⚽, Johansen M. (A),
63', Skaug J. ↓, Myhre T. ↑,
71', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
80', Johansen M. ↓, Isufi E. ↑,
83', Fredriksen D. 🟨,
85', Ngongo P. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Melland H. ⚽,
90+2', Haugen S. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
90+3', Fredriksen D. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Aalesunds is a strong favorite.

We predict that Aalesunds will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aalesunds won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.25	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	0:6 ✺
04.10.25	Aalesunds - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Odd - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Lysekloster - Aalesunds	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Aalesunds - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.10.25	Lillestrøm SK - Lyn	5:1 ✺
05.10.25	Lyn - Moss	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Hødd - Lyn	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Lyn - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.07.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	2:2
Club Friendly
11.03.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	4:5
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.09.24	Lyn - Aalesunds	0:0
15.04.24	Aalesunds - Lyn	0:3

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