The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Málaga 43%
Draw 32.6%
Alcorcón 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
32.4%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
22.5%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Málaga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.9%
16.7%
10.4%
Málaga - Alcorcón Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 35 - 72.9%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 60.3% – 85.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Málaga has the most likely position - 9 (5.69%), has project points - 55, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (8.96%), has project points - 48, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Málaga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Málaga will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Málaga won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
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