Match Info

LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Angola	20:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	AzTV
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	02:00	MyTV
Canada	15:00	TSN+
China	03:00	Migu
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 2
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 2
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	16:00	SCCN
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Málaga		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.60
	2.85	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.96	3.3	2.63
	2.82	3.41	2.51	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.55
	3.05	3.27	2.46	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.64)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
33.4%

Draw
29.1%

Espanyol
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.6%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Málaga - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Espanyol will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Málaga (2.04) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Málaga (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Málaga (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Espanyol (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 20. Calero F. 15. Recio A. 31. Rafita 14. Rodriguez R. 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 18. Martinez P. 11. Munoz J. 9. Chupe	1. Fortuno A. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 5. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 3. Hartman Q. 8. Exposito 10. Lozano P. 24. Dolan T. 28. Hernandez J. 15. Zaragoza B. 9. Fernandez R.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 39. Aznou A. 25. Berrocal J. 30. Cespedes A. (G) 8. Dotor C. 6. Enriquez R. 4. Galilea E. 17. Jauregi E. 13. Lopez C. (G) 23. Merino I. 21. Nino A. 5. Pastor A.	26. Bauza R. 22. Calatrava A. 13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 16. Drkusic V. 18. Fernandez Sanchez M. 20. Gabriel Moscardo 4. Gonzalez U. 21. Hinojo R. 11. Milla P. 14. Nunez U. 7. Puado J. 31. Serred L. (G)
Coaches
Funes J.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Zaragoza B. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
24', Hernandez J. 🟨,
28', Zaragoza B. 🟨,
28', Puga C. 🟨,
41', Chupe 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Hernandez J. ↓, Gonzalez U. ↑,
60', El Hilali O. 🟨,
62', Puga C. ↓, Aznou A. ↑,
62', Munoz J. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
62', Rodriguez R. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
66', Dotor C. 🟨,
73', Zaragoza B. ↓, Calatrava A. ↑,
74', Calero F. ↓, Merino I. ↑,
82', Fernandez R. ↓, Hinojo R. ↑,
82', Exposito ↓, Milla P. ↑,
82', Dolan T. ↓, Fernandez Sanchez M. ↑,
82', Martinez P. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
84', Riedel C. 🟨,
87', Hinojo R. 🟨,
89', Aznou A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Nino A. ⚽, Rafita (A),

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation - LaLiga2 and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Málaga: Cajuste J. (Injury) Diarra M. (Calf Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Murillo D. (Knee Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury) Salinas J. (Loan agreement).

Confirmed absences for Espanyol: Garcia K. (Hamstring Injury) Jofre (Groin Injury).

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Málaga has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:29 (averaging 0.6:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Málaga against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 2:12 goals (averaging 0.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	12:14	-2	8
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	7:19	-12	5

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Espanyol: 0.17% Malaga: 0.09%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.26	Getafe - Málaga	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Málaga - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Málaga - Levante	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real Madrid - Málaga	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
18.09.26	Espanyol - Elche	1:3 ✺
15.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.05.21	Espanyol - Málaga	3:0
02.11.20	Málaga - Espanyol	0:3
Club Friendly
02.09.20	Espanyol - Málaga	3:0
Spanish LaLiga
13.05.18	Espanyol - Málaga	4:1
08.01.18	Málaga - Espanyol	0:1
04.02.17	Málaga - Espanyol	0:1
26.08.16	Espanyol - Málaga	2:2

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