The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Málaga 34.9%
Draw 29.6%
Espanyol 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
28.6%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
57.1%
28.6%
Málaga - Espanyol Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Espanyol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation - LaLiga2 and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Málaga has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:29 (averaging 0.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Málaga against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 2:12 goals (averaging 0.3:1.7 per game).