Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		Intercity

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.6	3.72	6.05
	1.61	3.72	6.05
	1.59	3.64	5.7
	1.55	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	5.63 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Málaga
58.1%

Draw
25.5%

Intercity
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

26%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Málaga - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 12. Molina M. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 9. Aviles J. 17. Dioni	13. Campos G. (G) 2. Jaime G. 15. Perez A. (C) 16. Galvez R. 3. Romero C. 7. Soldevila O. 4. Undabarrena E. 10. Fernandez X. 6. Ceberio J. 23. Pinan A. 8. Nsue E.
Substitutes
26. Cordero A. 19. Fernandez Jaen R. 7. Ferreiro D. 2. Gabilondo J. 5. Juande 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.	5. Bellotti M. 21. Burlamaqui A. 22. Camara D. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 26. Juanpa 20. Mendibe M. 14. Murria V. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. 19. Traore M. 12. Vazquez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Perez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Dioni ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
58', Galvez R. 🟨,
68', Aviles J. ↓, Ferreiro D. ↑,
72', Soldevila O. ↓, Roige Rodriguez P. ↑,
74', Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
79', Ceberio J. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
84', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
84', Lorenzo D. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
84', Larrubia D. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
87', Galvez R. ↓, Bellotti M. ↑,
87', Fernandez X. ↓, Murria V. ↑,
87', Perez A. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
90+3', Pinan A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Málaga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Intercity is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.03.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Málaga	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Málaga - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Alcoyano - Málaga	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Málaga - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Melilla - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWL
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.03.24	Intercity - Melilla	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ceuta - Intercity	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Intercity - Linares Deportivo	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Intercity - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.01.24	Intercity - Málaga	2:2

Upcoming Matches