Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Mérida AD		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.9
	2.35	2.8	2.95
	2.4	3	3.05
	2.58	2.97	3.08
	2.48	2.84	3	Watch
	2.47	2.93	2.98
	2.4	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.29)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	3 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
37.8%

Draw
31.5%

Alcoyano
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

32%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Mérida AD - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 18. Falcon E. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 3. Sergi 11. Doncel C. 6. Miki 17. Ganet P. 10. Juanjo 14. Beltran L. 16. Garcia P.	1. Garcia M. (G) 14. Anton J. 18. Atienza P. 12. Granero B. 22. Rojo J. 23. Pastrana V. 6. Garcia I. 8. Molina D. 20. Undabarrena E. 11. Ferni 19. Losada M.
Substitutes
7. Alvaro J. 12. Beer J. 21. Beneit R. 22. Climent M. 28. del Cerro S. 26. Macia I. (G) 9. Mizzian M. 15. Prevedini M. 13. Vicente D. (G)	5. Albisua H. 21. Cellou M. 4. Farru 2. Ferriz P. 10. Lara J. A. 17. Lopez S. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 3. Rodriguez A. 13. Valens J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Anton J. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Beltran L. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Losada M. ⚽,
30', Atienza P. 🟨,
33', Miki ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Garcia P. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
58', Doncel C. ↓, Beneit R. ↑,
58', Falcon E. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
58', Garcia P. 🟨,
59', Molina D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
60', Losada M. ↓, Lara J. A. ↑,
69', Pipe ↓, Climent M. ↑,
71', Alvaro J. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', Ferni ↓, Niang M. ↑,
78', 🟨,
82', Alvaro J. 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Beltran L. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcoyano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.10.24	Mérida AD - Betis B	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Mérida AD - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Marbella - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTLW
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.10.24	Alcoyano - Antequera	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Fuenlabrada - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Alcoyano - Marbella	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Ibiza - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Alcoyano - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.03.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	1:3
03.01.24	Alcoyano - Mérida AD	1:0

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