Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Extremadura UD

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.85
	2.35	2.7	3.5
	2.44	2.6	3.15
	2.62	2.73	3.37
	2.54	2.52	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)	3.27 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
37.2%

Draw
34.7%

Extremadura UD
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mérida AD have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Extremadura UD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mérida AD - Extremadura UD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Extremadura UD is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.02.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Mérida AD - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
13.02.21	Mérida AD - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Melilla - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
03.02.21	Villarrobledo - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWLW
- Extremadura UD
Club Friendly
26.02.21	Extremadura UD - Salamanca	2:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.02.21	Extremadura UD - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Talavera de la Reina - Extremadura UD	2:2 ✺
10.02.21	Villarrubia - Extremadura UD	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Extremadura UD - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.12.20	Extremadura UD - Mérida AD	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.05.18	Mérida AD - Extremadura UD	0:2
10.12.17	Extremadura UD - Mérida AD	3:0
12.03.17	Extremadura UD - Mérida AD	1:1
23.10.16	Mérida AD - Extremadura UD	5:1

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