Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 33

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.8	3.2
	2.3	2.95	2.87
	2.35	2.8	3.2
	2.45	2.93	3.26
	2.4	2.94	3.14
	2.34	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.47)	2.9 ↑ (2.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
38.8%

Draw
31.7%

Leonesa
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

33.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

32.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Mérida AD - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

Mérida AD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leonesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.04.23	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:5 ✺
09.04.23	Mérida AD - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Ceuta - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Mérida AD - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWLWT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.23	Leonesa - Linense	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	San Fernando - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Leonesa - Linares Deportivo	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.01.23	Leonesa - Mérida AD	2:0

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