The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 43.4%
Draw 29.7%
Sevilla B 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
28.8%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
28.7%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Sevilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Mérida AD - Sevilla B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 18. Falcon E. 4. Bonaque M. 3. Jimenez N. 24. Carvalho M. 28. del Cerro S. 6. Miki 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J. 11. Doncel C.
13. Flores A. (G) 5. Hormigo D. 17. Benavides D. 4. Martinez R. 24. Castrin 7. Fernandez A. 22. Dasilva L. 19. Martinez S. 16. Bueno M. 20. Sierra M. 12. Pascual A.
Substitutes
7. Alvaro J. 22. Athuman I. 23. Busi 17. Ganet P. 10. Juanjo 9. Mizzian M. 20. Nabian H. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 16. Sanchez E. 13. Vicente D. (G)
18. Antonetti L. 8. Collado A. 21. Cortez J. 23. Dominguez I. 14. Jalade R. 3. Mascaro L. 9. Mejia M. 15. Munoz I. 26. Romero R. (G) 30. Sow I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Sierra M. 🟨,
30', Hormigo D. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Beltran L. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Doncel C. ↓, Busi ↑,
46', Sierra M. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
46', Hormigo D. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Eslava J. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
62', Miki ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
62', Carvalho M. ↓, Athuman I. ↑,
65', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
70', Dasilva L. ↓, Dominguez I. ↑,
70', Fernandez A. ↓, Collado A. ↑,
70', Eslava J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
73', del Cerro S. ↓, Juanjo ↑,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Collado A. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 7).
Mérida AD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Sevilla B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mérida AD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).