Match Info

LATVIA: Latvian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Mārupe		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
	7.25	6	1.3
	5.85	5.17	1.38	Watch
	6.45	5.3	1.36	Watch
	7.25	6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (5.7)	5.62 ↑ (5)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mārupe
13.9%

Draw
16.5%

Auda Riga
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

18.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

13.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mārupe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mārupe - Auda Riga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Urigajevs V. (G) 8. Abedi Rodo Y. 11. Cebotarjovs V. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 99. Marusii M. 3. Marusii T. 4. Meiers M. 12. Roga R. 19. Sadovnikovs R. 21. Strauss G.	1. Sturins R. (G) 37. Bosancic P. 77. Camara O. 6. Karklins K. (C) 79. Kone I. 23. Korotkovs I. 16. Lucas Ramos 21. Melniks D. 22. Ogunji O. 71. Rubenis O. 25. Taiwo A.
Substitutes
26. Dobrajs M. 10. Griskovs G. 14. Molcanovs M. 27. Norkuss D. 9. Sajenko E. 2. Upmalis R. 22. Zags T. 40. Zandreiters R. (G)	24. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. 17. Mane E. H. 5. Minkevics I. 11. Ogunniyi A. 15. Ouedraogo M. 14. Saveljevs A. 70. Talla M. 10. Traore A. K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Taiwo A. ⚽,
24', Meiers M. 🟨,
28', Sadovnikovs R. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Taiwo A. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Lucas Ramos ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Melniks D. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
46', Bosancic P. ↓, Minkevics I. ↑,
46', Taiwo A. ↓, Mane E. H. ↑,
56', 🟨,
56', Marusii M. 🟨,
60', Meiers M. ↓, Zags T. ↑,
60', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Sajenko E. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Lucas Ramos ⚽,
67', Lucas Ramos ↓, Talla M. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Marusii M. ⚽,
79', Kone I. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
81', Roga R. ↓, Norkuss D. ↑,
81', Marusii M. ↓, Griskovs G. ↑,
89', Marusii T. ↓, Dobrajs M. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
06.07.24	Mārupe - Ogre United	3:2 ✺
30.06.24	Rēzekne - Mārupe	1:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
22.06.24	Mārupe - Smiltene	3:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
15.06.24	Smiltene - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Mārupe - Olaine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW
- Auda Riga
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.24	Auda Riga - B36 Torshavn	2:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.24	Auda Riga - Valmiera	0:1 ✺
02.07.24	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
21.06.24	Auda Riga - RFS	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
17.07.21	Mārupe - Auda Riga	1:4

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