The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mġarr United 30.1%
Draw 26.2%
Fgura United 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
24.8%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
24.1%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Mġarr United - Fgura United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Pisani L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
53', 0 - 2, Rahman A. ⚽,
62', 0 - 3, Caruana D. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Vella T. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, Igiebor W. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 4, Kolawole Shittu A. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ))
Mġarr United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fgura has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Watch
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