The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mławianka Mława 32%
Draw 26.3%
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki 41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
25.3%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mławianka Mława have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
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Key Events of the Match
(2 - 4)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Mławianka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Mławianka has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:17 (averaging 2.3:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mławianka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 3.3:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Swit Mazowiecki
11
6
2
3
20:12
8
20
15
Mlawa
11
3
1
7
22:32
-10
10
Last Results with these Odds
Mławianka Mława - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 41.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.