Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 26

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Vitebsk)

Referee: Markov D. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Vitebsk		ML Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	5.4	3.85	1.48
	6.83	3.78	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↓ (6.7)	3.82 ↓ (4.33)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
15%

Draw
24%

ML Vitebsk
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

21.6%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ML Vitebsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Vitebsk - ML Vitebsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vitebsk will win (votes: 1 - 25%). ML Vitebsk will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gushchenko D. (G) 30. Bashilov M. 22. Egorov S. 23. Naumov N. (C) 3. Zhumaev V. 26. Tikhonovskiy S. 55. Girs D. 20. Krasnov E. 18. Skibskiy Y. 37. Radikovskiy D. 80. Ksenofontov A.	1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 20. Volkov Z. 3. Baranok N. 66. Karpovich S. 27. Mesarovic A. 4. Abdullahi O. 14. Lisakovich R. 70. Juninho 22. Eldarushev A. 10. Nikiforenko O.
Substitutes
14. Chervyakov Z. 4. Gorbachik V. 43. Kravchenko I. 53. Kuntsevich M. 24. Magloire E. 60. Novichkov I. (G) 27. Novykh E. 88. Pesnyak D. 9. Teverov R. 28. Yankovskiy K.	88. Bozhko E. 55. Bykov N. 5. Chuduk A. 17. Galyata D. 21. Glushkov N. 7. Pukhov T. 8. Rusak S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 13. Zaleskiy A. 9. Zherdev G.
Coaches
Gurenko S.	Martinovich M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
36', Baranok N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Girs D. ↓, Novykh E. ↑,
49', Juninho ↓, Glushkov N. ↑,
68', Egorov S. ↓, Magloire E. ↑,
68', Radikovskiy D. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
69', Tikhonovskiy S. ↓, Teverov R. ↑,
69', Mesarovic A. ↓, Zaleskiy A. ↑,
74', Skibskiy Y. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
88', Balanovich S. 🟨,
88', Eldarushev A. ↓, Chuduk A. ↑,
89', Balanovich S. ↓, Galyata D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Vitebsk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ML Vitebsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ML Vitebsk is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.10.25	Dinamo Brest - Vitebsk	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Slutsk - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Gomel - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.10.25	ML Vitebsk - Minsk	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	ML Vitebsk - Slavia Mozyr	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Neman Grodno - ML Vitebsk	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	ML Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
31.05.25	ML Vitebsk - Vitebsk	2:0
Belarusian Cup
21.06.22	ML Vitebsk - Vitebsk	2:3

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