Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 26

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Vitebsk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	19:30	Belarus 5


	Vitebsk		ML Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	6.50	3.80	1.43
	7.64	4.01	1.43
	7.55	3.95	1.42
	7.97	3.98	1.45
	6.60	4.00	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 ↑ (4.7)	3.95 ↑ (3.45)	1.44 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
12.7%

Draw
23.3%

ML Vitebsk
64%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.9%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

26.4%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitebsk's form might have worsened.

ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ML Vitebsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitebsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ML Vitebsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vitebsk - ML Vitebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Goylo N. (G) 22. Egorov S. 6. Rodionov K. 15. Kuntsevich M. 17. Novykh E. 30. Bashilov M. (C) 7. Lisovskiy R. 10. Protasov Y. 88. Pesnyak D. 77. Minaev R. 11. Gurenko A.	1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 6. Gomanov K. 20. Volkov Z. 45. Moskalenchik I. 15. Bocherov V. 55. Gromyko V. 27. Mesarovic A. 10. Cleonise D. 80. Kontsevoy A. 12. Bosic R.
Substitutes
18. Anikeev V. 8. Anufriev A. 14. Chervyakov Z. 20. Krasnov E. 24. Kravchenko I. 67. Minkevich G. 1. Novichkov I. (G) 66. Radin A. 26. Tikhonovskiy S. 86. Zgomba M.	4. Abdullahi O. 3. Baranok N. 99. Bulanov M. 9. Diabate B. 7. Ivanov T. 2. Nosko A. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y. 18. Zhuk V.
Coaches
Gurenko S.	Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Minaev R. ↓, Zgomba M. ↑,
18', 0 - 1, Bosic R. ⚽, Balanovich S. (A),
26', Bocherov V. 🟨,
44', Protasov Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bosic R. ↓, Diabate B. ↑,
57', Mesarovic A. ↓, Abdullahi O. ↑,
61', Pesnyak D. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
63', Balanovich S. ↓, Skibskiy Y. ↑,
64', Gromyko V. ↓, Baranok N. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Kontsevoy A. ⚽, Diabate B. (A),
69', Lisovskiy R. ↓, Tikhonovskiy S. ↑,
69', Bashilov M. ↓, Krasnov E. ↑,
69', Novykh E. ↓, Anikeev V. ↑,
71', Chervyakov Z. 🟨,
82', Bocherov V. ↓, Nosko A. ↑,
90', Abdullahi O. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

In recent outings, Vitebsk has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

ML Vitebsk is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

ML Vitebsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, ML Vitebsk enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Vitebsk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vitebsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	ML Vitebsk	25	16	8	1	52:18	34	56
6	Vitebsk	26	11	7	8	29:23	6	40

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

ML Vitebsk: 55.78%

Last Results with these Odds

ML Vitebsk - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.35%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.10.26	Baranovichi - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Vitebsk - Isloch Minsk	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Fakel - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.26	Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Vitebsk - Belshina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWT
- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.10.26	ML Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
15.10.26	ML Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Gomel - ML Vitebsk	1:5 ✺
18.09.26	ML Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	5:1 ✺
13.09.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - ML Vitebsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
13.06.26	ML Vitebsk - Vitebsk	1:2
26.10.25	Vitebsk - ML Vitebsk	0:1
31.05.25	ML Vitebsk - Vitebsk	2:0
Belarusian Cup
21.06.22	ML Vitebsk - Vitebsk	2:3

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