Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 26

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Traktor (Minsk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Poltarzhitsky V. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	17:30	Belarus 5


	Minsk		Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.16	3.4	3.33
	2.04	3.1	3.25
	2.18	3.24	3.31
	2.12	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.82)	3.22 ↓ (3.8)	3.24 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk
43.3%

Draw
28.4%

Baranovichi
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

23.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minsk's form might have worsened.

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Minsk - Baranovichi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gutor A. (C) 66. Campo F. 9. Dieye M. 29. Dubinets I. 7. Gomis H. 89. Jarjue Kabia A. 80. Ksenofontov A. 19. Kuchinskiy K. 3. Sokol A. 23. Turich A. 15. Yatskevich V.	12. Shapko D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. (C) 8. Balbukh V. 22. Bondarenko M. 19. Bruy A. 10. Lebedev F. 33. Muzychenko K. 34. Petrenko A. 11. Ryabykh N. 6. Tuzakbaev A. 23. Vasilenko V.
Substitutes
6. Abena F. 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 4. Khadarkevich R. 22. Makas A. 24. Matusevich S. 8. Migdalenok A. 79. Sviridenko I. 10. Zherdev G. 17. Zubovich E.	93. Dresmanis A. (G) 5. Fedotov V. 88. Gitselev Z. 9. Lapun E. 29. Penchuk S. 96. Potorocha V. 7. Pukhov T. 17. Shevchenko M. 97. Tkachev T. 45. Torekul E.
Coaches
Chelyadinsky A.	Kirenkin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Artyukh M. ⚽, Tuzakbaev A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Lebedev F. ⚽, Balbukh V. (A),
55', Sokol A. ↓, Sviridenko I. ↑,
55', Yatskevich V. ↓, Abena F. ↑,
65', Jarjue Kabia A. 🟨,
67', Ksenofontov A. ↓, Matusevich S. ↑,
67', Gomis H. ↓, Migdalenok A. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Matusevich S. ⚽, Migdalenok A. (A),
74', Lebedev F. ↓, Gitselev Z. ↑,
74', Petrenko A. ↓, Torekul E. ↑,
74', Tuzakbaev A. ↓, Lapun E. ↑,
76', Dubinets I. ↓, Zubovich E. ↑,
82', Bondarenko M. ↓, Shevchenko M. ↑,
82', Artyukh M. ↓, Potorocha V. ↑,
86', Abena F. 🟨,
88', 1 - 3, Torekul E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 11th).

Minsk has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Baranovichi has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Minsk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Minsk has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC Minsk	26	10	4	12	33:36	-3	34
11	Baranovici	26	7	7	12	27:43	-16	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.10.26	Isloch Minsk - Minsk	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Minsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Belshina - Minsk	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Minsk - Slavia Mozyr	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Naftan - Minsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW
- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.10.26	Baranovichi - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Neman Grodno - Baranovichi	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Baranovichi - Gomel	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Baranovichi	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Baranovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
13.06.26	Baranovichi - Minsk	2:1
Belarusian Cup
21.09.16	Baranovichi - Minsk	2:3 ET

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