Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: De Geusselt (Maastricht)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	MVV Maastricht		Roda

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.15
	2.90	3.40	2.14	Watch
	3.11	3.61	2.23
	3.06	3.57	2.19	Watch
	3.00	3.50	2.16
	3.07	3.42	2.20	Watch
	3.00	3.35	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.04)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MVV Maastricht
30.6%

Draw
26.7%

Roda
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

27.6%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

26.5%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

MVV Maastricht - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wentges H. (G) 17. van der Wegen S. 6. Dicke F. 22. Bouland S. 2. Hofland M. 10. Dumont O. 24. El Hamdaoui N. 16. Klaasen R. (C) 21. Asante D. 9. Vinogradac T. 7. Daneels L.	1. Treichel J. (G) 17. Peixoto G. 3. Tol M. 15. Beerten L. 5. Jansen K. 11. Dorenbosch D. 4. Nisbet J. 8. Mensah J. 6. Paulissen M. 24. Deom J. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
Substitutes
31. Bourard Y. 23. Goffings V. (G) 26. Mansala Mpudi A. 27. Matoug N. 5. Schenk L. 18. Sierra E. 12. van der Heijden S. (G) 29. Zimuangana O.	20. Bentoumi M. 25. Marsman B. 10. Schenten F. 7. Seedorf C. 26. Sleegers J. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G) 14. van den Berg X. 33. Van den Buijs D. 27. Van Mieghem K. 2. Verheij L.
Coaches
Jonker A.	Penders R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Dumont O. ⚽, Klaasen R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Deom J. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
46', Peixoto G. ↓, Sleegers J. ↑,
50', Sleegers J. 🟨,
52', Bouland S. 🟨,
62', El Hamdaoui N. ↓, Sierra E. ↑,
63', Seedorf C. 🟨,
64', Paulissen M. ↓, Bentoumi M. ↑,
64', Jansen K. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
71', Klaasen R. 🟨,
77', Mensah J. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
78', Vinogradac T. ↓, Luijendijk M. ↑,
78', Asante D. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
86', Sierra E. 🟨,
90+1', Klaasen R. ↓, Schenk L. ↑,
90+1', Hofland M. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Sleegers J. ⚽, Marsman B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.

Maastricht has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Roda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Maastricht: Schenk L. (Injury) Tehubijuluw D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Maastricht: Timber D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87% Maastricht: 1.24%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
7	Maastricht	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16

Last Results with these Odds

Roda - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	MVV Maastricht - Volendam	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	MVV Maastricht - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WWWWW
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.08.26	Roda - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Dordrecht - Roda	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Emmen - Roda	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Roda - Alemannia Aachen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.02.26	Roda - MVV Maastricht	2:0
30.11.25	MVV Maastricht - Roda	0:0
01.02.25	MVV Maastricht - Roda	3:2
21.09.24	Roda - MVV Maastricht	1:0
17.03.24	MVV Maastricht - Roda	0:3
26.11.23	Roda - MVV Maastricht	1:0
05.02.23	Roda - MVV Maastricht	2:1

MVV Maastricht - Roda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide