Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 16

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Maardu linnastaadion (Maardu)


	Maardu Linnameeskond		Nõmme Kalju U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	4.20	3.30
	1.84	3.85	3.00
	1.78	4.42	3.53
	1.77	4.26	3.42
	1.70	4.40	3.25
	1.68	4.20	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)	4.22 ↑ (3.85)	3.37 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maardu Linnameeskond
51.7%

Draw
21.4%

Nõmme Kalju U21
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

23.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

23.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maardu Linnameeskond's performance.

Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme Kalju U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maardu Linnameeskond that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme Kalju U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Maardu Linnameeskond will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Volkov A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Godwin C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Volkov A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga B and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Maardu Linnameeskond may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nõmme Kalju U21 has had a series of home games.

Maardu Linnameeskond could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 3.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Maardu Linnameeskond won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 6:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25
10	Maardu	36	12	5	19	45:59	-14	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
11.06.26	Elva - Maardu Linnameeskond	4:3 ✺
28.05.26	FC Tallinn - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTLWW
- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
15.06.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United U21	4:1 ✺
01.06.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - FC Tallinn	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Viimsi JK	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
18.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:2
06.10.18	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1
14.07.18	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21	10:1
28.04.18	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2
17.03.18	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:0

Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide