Match Info

Date: 31 March 2021, Wednesday


	Macaé		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	7	3.75	1.44
	9	3.4	1.44
	6.75	3.8	1.42
	8.8	3.8	1.36
	11.13	3.72	1.45
	12	3.6	1.36
	7.4	4.36	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.87 ↑ (7.07)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macaé
10.4%

Draw
24.4%

Nova Iguaçu
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

25.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

21.4%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macaé than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Macaé - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Macaé has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nova Iguaçu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Macaé have a series of guest games.

Recently Nova Iguaçu have a series of home games.

In this match Nova Iguaçu is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Macaé won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Macaé won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macaé Esporte
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
28.03.21	Portuguesa RJ - Macaé	3:0 ✺
24.03.21	Vasco da Gama - Macaé	3:1 ✺
20.03.21	Volta Redonda - Macaé	1:0 ✺
15.03.21	Boavista - Macaé	1:1 ✺
06.03.21	Macaé - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLTL
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
28.03.21	Nova Iguaçu - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
25.03.21	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
20.03.21	Boavista - Nova Iguaçu	1:2 ✺
13.03.21	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
07.03.21	Nova Iguaçu - Madureira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
29.12.19	Macaé - Nova Iguaçu	2:0
22.02.19	Macaé - Nova Iguaçu	0:4
02.02.19	Nova Iguaçu - Macaé	0:2
29.12.18	Macaé - Nova Iguaçu	1:0
18.03.18	Nova Iguaçu - Macaé	0:2
18.02.17	Nova Iguaçu - Macaé	3:1
08.02.15	Macaé - Nova Iguaçu	2:1

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