Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Sammy Ofer Stadium (Haifa)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Maccabi Haifa		Benfica

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.66
	4.8	4	1.68
	5	4.3	1.68
	4.7	4.3	1.65
	4.78	4.25	1.71
	5	4	1.63
	5	4.25	1.67
	4.7	4.3	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↓ (4.86)	4.18 ↓ (4.28)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Haifa
19.8%

Draw
23%

Benfica
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

22.3%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.2%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Haifa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Haifa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.6%	5.6%	86.9%

Maccabi Haifa - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (172 of 198 users predict this - 86.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.17% – 91.57%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Benfica is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Maccabi Haifa has currently - 3, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a chance of 3rd (23%), has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Benfica has currently - 11, has a chance of 1st (33%), has a good chance of 2nd (67%), has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (17%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 61, importance 31, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Maccabi Haifa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

There will not play in Maccabi Haifa: Haziza D. (Muscle Injury) Jaber M. (Leg Injury) Podgoreanu S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sundgren D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Benfica: Draxler J. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez E. (Yellow Cards) Morato (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Maccabi Haifa: Batubinsika D. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maccabi Haifa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Haifa FC
Israeli Ligat haAl
29.10.22	Maccabi Haifa - MS Ashdod	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Maccabi Haifa	7:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.10.22	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Maccabi Haifa	2:3 ✺
17.10.22	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Hadera	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Maccabi Haifa - Juventus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
29.10.22	Benfica - Chaves	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.22	Benfica - Juventus	4:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
21.10.22	Porto - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Caldas - Benfica	1:2 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.09.22	Benfica - Maccabi Haifa	2:0

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