Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 27

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Benfica		Chaves

	1	X	2
	1.1	10	23	Watch
	1.11	9.5	19.5
	1.1	9.5	23	Watch
	1.11	11.54	28.26
	1.09	11.54	28.26
	1.1	9.5	21	Watch
	1.12	9.3	21	Watch
	1.11	9.4	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.13)	10.04 ↑ (8.8)	22.88 ↑ (17.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
86.3%

Draw
9.5%

Chaves
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

10.8%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Benfica - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 79.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 44. Araujo T. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 8. Aursnes F. 61. Florentino 87. Neves J. 11. Di Maria A. 27. Rafa Silva 7. David Neres 9. Cabral A.	1. Hugo Souza (G) 3. Ygor Nogueira 13. Fernandes V. 40. Pius J. 20. Ribeiro R. 14. Essugo D. 21. Guima (C) 7. Benny 27. Carraca 23. Hernandez H. 80. Raphael Guzzo
Substitutes
14. Bernat J. 3. Carreras A. 20. Joao Mario 10. Kokcu O. 36. Marcos Leonardo 5. Morato 32. Rollheiser B. 24. Soares S. (G) 19. Tengstedt C.	99. Jo 70. Morim H. 31. Moura R. (G) 28. Nwakali K. 9. Paulo Victor 18. Pinho P. 10. Sanca L. 2. Sylla H. 19. Vitoria S.
Coaches
Schmidt R.	Morgado L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Pius J. 🟨,
26', Di Maria A. (Pen),
31', Hugo Souza 🟨,
45', Hernandez H. 🟨,
45+3', Otamendi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
62', Guima 🟨,
64', Benny 🟨,
65', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
66', Cabral A. (Pen),
68', 1 - 0, Neves J. ⚽, Di Maria A. (A),
72', Ribeiro R. ↓, Pinho P. ↑,
72', Essugo D. ↓, Morim H. ↑,
72', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
73', Cabral A. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
81', Benny ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
81', Guima ↓, Jo ↑,
82', Di Maria A. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
82', David Neres ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
90+3', Fernandes V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 3.

Benfica is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chaves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Benfica is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bernat J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Chaves: Cruz S. (Injury) Phete T. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Benfica won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
17.03.24	Casa Pia - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.03.24	Glasgow Rangers - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.03.24	Benfica - Estoril Praia	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.03.24	Benfica - Glasgow Rangers	2:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.03.24	Porto - Benfica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTL
- Desportivo Chaves
Liga Portugal
17.03.24	Chaves - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Gil Vicente - Chaves	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Chaves - Arouca	1:5 ✺
24.02.24	Estrela da Amadora - Chaves	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Chaves - Boavista	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.11.23	Chaves - Benfica	0:2
15.04.23	Chaves - Benfica	1:0
29.10.22	Benfica - Chaves	5:0
25.02.19	Benfica - Chaves	4:0
27.09.18	Chaves - Benfica	2:2
20.01.18	Benfica - Chaves	3:0
14.08.17	Chaves - Benfica	0:1

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