Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 34

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)


	Maccabi Petah Tikva		Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.29	4.67
	1.74	3.52	4.4
	1.77	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.2)	3.4 ↑ (3.16)	4.32 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Petah Tikva
52.2%

Draw
26.7%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Petah Tikva's performance.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Petah Tikva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al Fahm Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maccabi Petah Tikva will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Petah Tikva: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Maccabi Petah Tikva is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Maccabi Petah Tikva is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maccabi Petah Tikva won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Petah Tikva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.04.23	Ironi Tiberias - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
03.04.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	1:1 ✺
17.03.23	Ironi Tiberias - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:2 ✺
13.03.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTTW
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.04.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
03.04.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Bnei Yehuda	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
09.03.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:1
07.10.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0
24.02.20	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:1
01.11.19	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1

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