Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Adjarabet Arena (Batumi)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Israel	Sport 2
Switzerland	RSI La 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.50	2.50
	2.37	3.50	2.55
	2.45	3.45	2.65	Watch
	2.46	3.75	2.62
	2.22	3.69	3.02	Watch
	2.40	3.70	2.55
	2.54	3.64	2.60	Watch
	2.46	3.60	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.59)	3.6 ↑ (3.48)	2.64 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
38.6%

Draw
25.9%

Lugano
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.1%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Melika O. (G) 6. Asante T. 5. Camara M. 13. Shlomo R. 3. Revivo R. 42. Peretz D. (C) 28. Sissokho I. 36. Shahar I. 77. Davida O. 9. Sokler E. 29. Varela H.	16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 46. Zanotti M. 25. Bislimi U. 8. Grgic A. 27. Dos Santos D. 21. Cimignani Y. 11. Steffen R. (C) 91. Behrens K.
Substitutes
59. Assras L. 41. Ben Hamo I. 21. Ben Harush N. 60. Ben Simon I. 18. Glazer D. 33. Layous H. 19. Madmon E. 90. Mishpati R. (G) 30. Noy I. 25. Rosen S. 51. Saadia S. (G)	23. Ajdin G. 18. Bichsel J. 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 2. Karimov B. 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 26. Marques M. 30. Moncada D. 39. Ndiaye C. (G) 24. Pihlstrom E.
Coaches
Taylor S.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
36', Zanotti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Zanotti M. 🟨,
63', Behrens K. ↓, Moncada D. ↑,
63', Dos Santos D. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
65', Asante T. ↓, Ben Harush N. ↑,
65', Sokler E. ↓, Madmon E. ↑,
68', Steffen R. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Peretz D. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Camara M. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Moncada D. ⚽, Cimignani Y. (A),
81', Shahar I. ↓, Layous H. ↑,
82', Steffen R. ↓, Karimov B. ↑,
82', Papadopoulos A. ↓, Kendouci A. ↑,
90+2', Bislimi U. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Adjarabet Arena.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lugano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Maccabi Tel Aviv has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Lugano: 1.49%

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.43%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.08.26	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Lugano - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.26	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	CSKA Sofia - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
06.08.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL
- FC Lugano
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Lugano - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	NSÍ Runavík - Lugano	2:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	Lugano - Zürich	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Lugano - NSÍ Runavík	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
02.08.26	Grasshoppers - Lugano	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Lugano - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:1

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