Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
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Colombia	ESPN 2
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Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9
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Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Lyon

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.65
	5	4.2	1.68
	5.07	4.08	1.68
	3.98	4.01	1.79	Watch
	5.39	4.1	1.66
	4.75	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (3.98)	4.07 ↑ (4.01)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
19.7%

Draw
23.6%

Lyon
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

23.5%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

23.3%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	8.6%	85.7%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lyon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Mishpati R. (G) 34. Abu Farhi S. 6. Asante T. 13. Shlomo R. 4. Heitor 3. Revivo R. 77. Davida O. 36. Shahar I. 23. Lederman B. 29. Varela H. 42. Peretz D. (C)	40. Descamps R. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 6. Tessmann T. 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 39. de Carvalho M. 23. Morton T. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 10. Sulc P. 20. Satriano M. 16. Abner Vinicius
Substitutes
10. Andrade K. 17. Belic K. 41. Ben Hamo I. 21. Ben Harush N. 60. Ben Simon I. 1. Gerafi Y. (G) 11. Jehezkel S. 19. Madmon E. 22. Melika O. (G) 98. Nicolaescu I. 30. Noy I. 28. Sissokho I.	41. Barisic T. 50. Diarra L. (G) 32. Gomes A. 46. Goncalves T. 1. Greif D. (G) 84. Hamdani A. 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K. 29. Molebe E. 17. Moreira A.
Coaches
Lazetic Z.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Abner Vinicius ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Tolisso C. ⚽, Abner Vinicius (A),
27', Davida O. 🟨,
29', Varela H. ↓, Jehezkel S. ↑,
31', Asante T. 🟨,
34', Jehezkel S. 🟨,
35', 0 - 3, Niakhate M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Lederman B. ↓, Noy I. ↑,
51', 0 - 4, Tolisso C. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
54', 0 - 5, Tolisso C. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
57', Revivo R. ↓, Ben Harush N. ↑,
57', Davida O. ↓, Nicolaescu I. ↑,
57', Tolisso C. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
57', Sulc P. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
62', 0 - 6, Karabec A. ⚽, Merah K. (A),
69', Noy I. 🟨,
69', Abner Vinicius ↓, Barisic T. ↑,
69', Maitland-Niles A. ↓, Goncalves T. ↑,
74', Peretz D. ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
77', Satriano M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
79', Barisic T. 🟨,
86', Gomes A. 🟨,
90+1', Jehezkel S. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - TSC Arena.

In recent matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lyon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Maccabi Tel Aviv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Belic K. (Inactive) Camara M. (Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Kluivert R. (Ankle Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lyon: Clinton Mata (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
09.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem	2:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Aston Villa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
01.11.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Midtjylland	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Auxerre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Betis - Lyon	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTT

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