Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 4
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	15:45	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:45	Disney+
China	02:45	Migu
Colombia	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 4
Europe	—	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	CANAL+ France, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 4
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	02:45	Cignal Play
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	20:45	Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	01:45	ON Plus
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Paris FC		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.70	2.65
	2.52	3.45	2.65	Watch
	2.58	3.55	2.82
	2.53	3.64	2.66	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.75
	2.51	3.69	2.69	Watch
	2.55	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.64)	3.6 ↑ (3.56)	2.69 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
38%

Draw
26.5%

Lyon
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.6%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	41.4%	37.9%

Paris FC - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Lyon will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lyon (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Paris FC (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Lyon (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trapp K. (G) 31. Chergui S. 42. Coppola D. 14. Traore H. 17. Camara A. 20. Lopez M. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 15. Koleosho L. 10. Kebbal I. 7. Pagis P. 9. Sinayoko L.	1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 2. Bidstrup M. 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 10. Sulc P. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 17. Openda L.
Substitutes
93. Ikone J. 25. Kore Y. 4. Marchetti V. 23. Matondo R. 5. Mbow M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 27. Simon M. 18. Sissoko O. 8. Zabi P.	26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 21. Kluivert R. 22. Mata C. 18. Merah K. 11. Nakamura K. 99. Nartey N. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Openda L. 🟨,
69', Coppola D. 🟨,
75', Openda L. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
77', Traore H. 🟨,
79', Koleosho L. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
79', Pagis P. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
87', Kebbal I. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
87', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
87', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Paris FC: Otavio (Injury) Sangui N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Ikone J. (Hamstring Injury) Mbemba E. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 2.87% Paris FC: 1.06%

Last Results with these Odds

Paris FC - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Lyon - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Angers - Paris FC	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Stuttgart - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTLT
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Toulouse - Lyon	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lyon - Paris FC	1:1
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3
Coupe De France
17.12.21	Paris FC - Lyon	Canceled

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