Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	15:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Canada	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	15:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 3
Israel	16:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	15:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 2
Mexico	08:00	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Russia	17:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	15:00	Voyo
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Auxerre		Lyon

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2.08
	3.85	3.55	2.04
	3.76	3.52	1.97	Watch
	3.76	3.43	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.76)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	2.06 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
25.4%

Draw
28.1%

Lyon
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.9%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.1%	12.8%	82.1%

Auxerre - Lyon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Auxerre (3.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 - Lyon (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lyon (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Lyon (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (C) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 17. El Azzouzi O. 34. Matondo R. 5. Danois K. 10. Sinayoko L. 9. Mara S. 19. Danny Namaso	1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 8. Tolisso C. (C) 6. Tessmann T. 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K. 17. Moreira A. 20. Satriano M.
Substitutes
7. Casimir J. 40. De Percin T. (G) 36. Devernois T. 43. Diamalunda E. 18. Diousse A. 35. Legros E. 37. Mezerette L. (G) 22. Oppegard F. 23. Osman I.	41. Barisic T. 39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 34. Fall F. 32. Gomes A. 46. Goncalves T. 38. Hamdani A. 29. Molebe E. 10. Sulc P.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Maciel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Merah K. 🟨,
25', Sinayoko L. (Pen),
28', Mensah G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
63', Clinton Mata ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
70', Tolisso C. 🟨,
72', Mara S. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
85', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
85', Karabec A. ↓, Hamdani A. ↑,
87', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
89', Sinayoko L. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
89', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

Auxerre has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lyon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lyon could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Ankle Injury) Owusu E. (Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Sierralta F. (Muscle Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Hateboer H. (Red Card) Kluivert R. (Ankle Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Morton T. (Yellow Cards) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Red Card)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Angers - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Betis - Lyon	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.04.25	Auxerre - Lyon	1:3
27.10.24	Lyon - Auxerre	2:2
17.02.23	Auxerre - Lyon	2:1
31.08.22	Lyon - Auxerre	2:1
07.04.12	Lyon - Auxerre	2:1

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