What is the expert prediction for Auxerre vs Lyon?

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Auxerre vs Lyon Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, November 23, 2025)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Auxerre		Lyon

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2.08
	3.85	3.55	2.04
	3.76	3.52	1.97	Watch
	3.76	3.43	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.76)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	2.06 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
25.4%

Draw
28.1%

Lyon
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.9%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27.9%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.1%	12.8%	82.1%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Auxerre (3.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Lyon (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lyon (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Lyon (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (C) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 17. El Azzouzi O. 34. Matondo R. 5. Danois K. 10. Sinayoko L. 9. Mara S. 19. Danny Namaso	1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 8. Tolisso C. (C) 6. Tessmann T. 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K. 17. Moreira A. 20. Satriano M.
Substitutes
7. Casimir J. 40. De Percin T. (G) 36. Devernois T. 43. Diamalunda E. 18. Diousse A. 35. Legros E. 37. Mezerette L. (G) 22. Oppegard F. 23. Osman I.	41. Barisic T. 39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 34. Fall F. 32. Gomes A. 46. Goncalves T. 38. Hamdani A. 29. Molebe E. 10. Sulc P.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Maciel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Merah K. 🟨,
25', Sinayoko L. (Pen),
28', Mensah G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
63', Clinton Mata ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
70', Tolisso C. 🟨,
72', Mara S. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
85', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
85', Karabec A. ↓, Hamdani A. ↑,
87', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
89', Sinayoko L. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
89', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

Auxerre has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lyon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lyon could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Ankle Injury) Owusu E. (Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Sierralta F. (Muscle Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Hateboer H. (Red Card) Kluivert R. (Ankle Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Morton T. (Yellow Cards) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Red Card)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Angers - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Betis - Lyon	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.04.25	Auxerre - Lyon	1:3
27.10.24	Lyon - Auxerre	2:2
17.02.23	Auxerre - Lyon	2:1
31.08.22	Lyon - Auxerre	2:1
07.04.12	Lyon - Auxerre	2:1

Auxerre - Lyon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide