Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Lyon		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.75	Watch
	4.45	3.95	1.75
	4.66	3.96	1.76
	4.46	4.18	1.68	Watch
	4.81	4	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.42)	3.98 ↓ (4.23)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
21%

Draw
24.1%

Paris Saint-Germain
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

22.4%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21.8%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Lyon - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Lyon (2.15) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Lyon (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - PSG (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 5 - 16.7%). PSG (votes: 25 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 21. Kluivert R. 22. Clinton Mata (C) 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T. 23. Morton T. 98. Maitland-Niles A. 44. Merah K. 17. Moreira A. 18. Ghezzal R.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 51. Pacho W. 21. Hernandez L. 87. Neves J. 17. Vitinha (C) 8. Ruiz F. 19. Lee Kang-In 24. Mayulu S. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
41. Barisic T. 39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 50. Diarra L. (G) 46. Goncalves T. 7. Karabec A. 29. Molebe E. 20. Satriano M. 8. Tolisso C.	29. Barcola B. 4. Beraldo L. 42. Boly D. 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 49. Mbaye I. 47. Ndjantou Q. 9. Ramos G. 39. Safonov M. (G)
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Zaire-Emery W. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
30', 1 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽, Niakhate M. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
44', Clinton Mata 🟨,
45+1', Mayulu S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Maitland-Niles A. ⚽, Morton T. (A),
57', Morton T. 🟨,
58', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
64', Ghezzal R. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
67', Mayulu S. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
74', Hernandez L. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
75', Ruiz F. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
75', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
78', Merah K. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
90+3', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
90+4', Tolisso C. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 3, Neves J. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
90+6', Ramos G. 🟨,
90+7', Satriano M. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 0.

Lyon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Red Card) Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Hateboer H. (Red Card) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Calf Injury) Doue D. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Ankle Injury) Mendes N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 20:46. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Betis - Lyon	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Lyon - Basel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.02.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3
15.12.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	3:1
Coupe De France
25.05.24	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
French Ligue 1
21.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	4:1
03.09.23	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4
02.04.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	0:1
18.09.22	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1

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