Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Partizana (Belgrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 8
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 11
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 13
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, VIX App


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Porto

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.5
	5.75	4.5	1.51
	5.95	4.7	1.5
	5.83	4.75	1.52
	5.88	4.62	1.51	Watch
	5.8	4.4	1.53
	6.11	4.84	1.51
	6	4.75	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↓ (6.56)	4.66 ↑ (4.6)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
16.3%

Draw
20.5%

Porto
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.5%

20.6%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

15.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	16.1%	66.1%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 10 - 18.5%). Porto will win (votes: 35 - 64.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 52.1% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sluga S. (G) 6. Asante T. 4. Lemkin S. 13. Shlomo R. 3. Revivo R. 36. Shahar I. 28. Sissokho I. 16. Kanichowsky G. (C) 77. Davida O. 9. Turgeman D. 17. Weslley Patati	99. Costa D. (C) 23. Joao Mario 3. Djalo T. 4. Otavio 74. Moura F. 22. Varela A. 16. Nico 6. Eustaquio S. 10. Vieira F. 19. Danny Namaso 11. Pepê
Substitutes
20. Addo H. 27. Davidzada O. 33. Layous H. 19. Madmon E. 41. Magor R. 15. Malede Y. 90. Mishpati R. (G) 5. Nachmias I. 42. Peretz D. 18. Stojic N. 70. Trau I. (G) 14. van Overeem J.	70. Borges G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 20. Franco A. 13. Galeno 27. Gul D. 17. Ivan Jaime 86. Mora R. 97. Pedro J. 94. Portugal S. (G) 15. Sousa V. 12. Zaidu
Coaches
Lazetic Z.	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kanichowsky G. ↓, van Overeem J. ↑,
49', Moura F. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Nico ⚽, Joao Mario (A),
66', Vieira F. ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
66', Danny Namaso ↓, Gul D. ↑,
69', Shahar I. ↓, Peretz D. ↑,
70', Asante T. ↓, Stojic N. ↑,
70', Turgeman D. ↓, Madmon E. ↑,
75', Moura F. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
75', Pepê ↓, Galeno ↑,
81', Davida O. ↓, Addo H. ↑,
84', Nico ↓, Mora R. ↑,

Preview

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Maccabi Tel Aviv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Porto is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Perez N. (Yellow Cards) Samu (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Jehezkel S. (Ankle Injury) Melika O. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Wendell (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maccabi Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
27.01.25	Maccabi Haifa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	Maccabi Tel Aviv awarded ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Bodø Glimt - Maccabi Tel Aviv	3:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.01.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi Netanya	4:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
15.01.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.01.25	Ironi Tiberias - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?LWLT
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
26.01.25	Porto - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Porto - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.01.25	Gil Vicente - Porto	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Nacional - Porto	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
07.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.11.15	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Porto	1:3
20.10.15	Porto - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:0

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