Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	ANT1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255
Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Q Sport
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	ESPN 4
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	CBS, Flow Sports 1, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Porto		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5
	1.73	3.7	4.75
	1.82	3.55	4.7
	1.78	3.73	4.93
	1.76	3.66	4.77	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.5
	1.82	3.91	4.76
	1.82	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.65)	3.67 ↓ (4.06)	4.77 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
53.9%

Draw
26.1%

Olympiacos Piraeus
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	11.1%	12.7%

Porto - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 8 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 65.4% – 87.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 23. Joao Mario 24. Perez N. 3. Djalo T. 74. Moura F. 16. Nico 86. Mora R. 22. Varela A. 11. Pepê 9. Samu 13. Galeno	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 96. Mouzakitis C. 14. Garcia D. 22. Chiquinho 84. Kostoulas C. 19. Masouras G. (C) 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
70. Borges G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 19. Danny Namaso 6. Eustaquio S. 27. Gul D. 68. Oliveira A. 4. Otavio 97. Pedro J. 15. Sousa V. 92. Teixeira J. 10. Vieira F. 12. Zaidu	99. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 65. Apostolopoulos A. 29. Bakoulas T. 4. Biancone G. 20. Costinha 27. Oliveira S. 64. Papakanellos A. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 5. Pirola L. 8. Stamenic M. 11. Velde K. 17. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
Tavares J.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Perez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Masouras G. ↓, Velde K. ↑,
53', Samu 🟨,
59', Garcia D. 🟨,
59', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
72', Mora R. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
73', Joao Mario ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
77', Velde K. ↓, Costinha ↑,
79', 0 - 1, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Mouzakitis C. (A),
80', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
80', Moura F. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
86', Borges G. 🟨,
89', Chiquinho ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
90', El Kaabi A. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Porto is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olympiacos is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Porto have a series of guest games.

In this match Porto is a favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Wendell (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Hezze S. (Yellow Cards) Yazici Y. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Porto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
19.01.25	Gil Vicente - Porto	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Nacional - Porto	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
07.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.12.24	Porto - Boavista	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Moreirense - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
19.01.25	Atromitos Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
15.01.25	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
11.01.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Panetolikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Lamia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
09.12.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Porto	0:2
27.10.20	Porto - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0

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