Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:30	Tring Sport 3
Brazil	11:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:30	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	17:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	16:30	Bold+
France	16:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Greece	17:30	COSMOTE Sport 8
Kazakhstan	20:30	Sport+
Netherlands	16:30	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
Poland	16:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	15:30	Sport TV1
Serbia	16:30	Arena Premium 5
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	17:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Porto		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.34	4.95	8.3	Watch
	1.33	5.47	9.33
	1.37	4.97	8.82	Watch
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.34	5.62	9.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	5.21 ↑ (4.93)	8.54 ↑ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
70.8%

Draw
18.1%

Santa Clara
11.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.2%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

18.3%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Porto - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 74. Moura F. 8. Froholdt V. 22. Varela A. 86. Mora R. 7. William Gomes 27. Gul D. 17. Sainz B.	50. Afonso J. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 4. Pacheco P. 23. Lima S. (C) 64. Paulo Victor 65. Tavares J. 35. Serginho 49. Welinton Torrao 77. Gustavo Klismahn 10. Gabriel Silva 26. Fernando
Substitutes
24. Costa J. (G) 42. Fofana S. 66. Lima B. 29. Moffi T. 11. Pepê 18. Perez N. 77. Pietuszewski O. 13. Rosario P. 10. Veiga G.	78. Andrey 37. Darlan 7. Elias Manoel 1. Gabriel Batista (G) 52. Isaac 42. Lucas Soares 94. Silva H. 21. Venancio F. 70. Vinicius Lopes
Coaches
Farioli F.	Pires L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Tavares J. ↓, Andrey ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Sainz B. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
56', Gul D. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
62', Fernando ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
63', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Lima S. (Own goal),
72', Costa D. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
81', Moura F. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
82', Froholdt V. ↓, Lima B. ↑,
86', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Isaac ↑,
86', Paulo Victor ↓, Lucas Soares ↑,

Preview

Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.

Porto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santa Clara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Miranda A. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Prpic D. (Red Card) Samu (Knee Injury) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Santa Clara: MT (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Santa Clara: Guilherme Romao (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Porto won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:9. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 1.6:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	21:4	17	27
4	Santa Clara	9	5	3	1	13:6	7	18

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

FC Porto: 57.19% Santa Clara: 0.54%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
10.05.26	AVS - Porto	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Porto - Alverca	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Estrela da Amadora - Porto	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.04.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.04.26	Porto - Tondela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWTW
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
11.05.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Santa Clara - Braga	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Casa Pia - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.01.26	Santa Clara - Porto	0:1
26.01.25	Porto - Santa Clara	1:1
16.08.24	Santa Clara - Porto	0:2
Taça de Portugal
29.02.24	Santa Clara - Porto	1:2
Liga Portugal
15.04.23	Porto - Santa Clara	2:1
29.10.22	Santa Clara - Porto	1:1
04.04.22	Porto - Santa Clara	3:0

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