Match Info

National League North - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Peterborough Sports		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.3
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.95	3.45	3.4
	2	3.57	3.5
	2.02	3.46	3.44	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.97	3.48	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.29)	3.42 ↑ (3.29)	3.43 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
46.6%

Draw
26.7%

Merthyr Town
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough Sports's performance.

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Peterborough Sports - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Smalley B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 3, Rees R. ⚽,

Preview

Merthyr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Peterborough Sports could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Sports - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.76%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English National League North
09.08.25	Chester - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Peterborough Sports - Boston United	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	Peterborough Sports - Peterborough United	1:8 ✺
12.07.25	Peterborough Sports - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
English National League North
26.04.25	Peterborough Sports - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLTT
- Merthyr Town
English National League North
09.08.25	Merthyr Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Merthyr Town - Cardiff City U21	4:6 ✺
18.07.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Merthyr Town - Llanelli	6:1 ✺
02.07.25	Pen-y-Bont - Merthyr Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

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