Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 26Date: 1 March 2026, SundayLocation: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)
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Ancona |
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Maceratese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.5 |
3.7 |
5.7 |
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1.55 |
3.65 |
5.33 |
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1.61 |
3.63 |
5.12 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
3.25 |
5 |
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1.73 |
3.57 |
4.72 |
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 |
1.43 |
4.1 |
6.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.42) |
3.65 ↓
(4.08) |
5.41 ↓
(6.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ancona
58.1% | Draw
25% | Maceratese
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ancona's form might have worsened.Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ancona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Zini A. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 0, Zini A. ⚽,
- 43', 3 - 0, Cericola M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 2.Ancona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Maceratese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Ancona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Ancona is the undeniable favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Ancona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Ancona | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 58:21 | 37 | 74 |
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| 12 | Maceratese | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 42:47 | -5 | 37 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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