Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Referee: Uemura A. (Jpn)


	Machida Zelvia		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.85	3.25	4.35
	1.88	3.43	4.66
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.83	3.46	4.5	Watch
	1.84	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	4.38 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
50.6%

Draw
28.1%

Roasso Kumamoto
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

27.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kumamoto: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Machida Zelvia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
22.04.23	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Machida Zelvia - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
12.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Machida Zelvia - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Machida Zelvia - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTLW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
21.04.23	Roasso Kumamoto - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
12.04.23	Fagiano Okayama - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
14.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	0:0
12.06.22	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
16.07.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	2:3
08.04.18	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2
02.09.17	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	0:1
03.05.17	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1
16.10.16	Machida Zelvia - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0

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