Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Mafra		Amarante

	1	X	2
	2.02	3	3.5
	2.22	3.08	3.64
	2.18	3.04	3.54	Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.5
	2.05	2.95	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.21)	2.99 ↑ (2.89)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mafra
43.6%

Draw
30.7%

Amarante
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Mafra - Amarante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silva P. (G) 3. Alves K. 2. Camara M. 20. Maiga Y. 5. Beni D. 46. Sambu B. 7. Matos R. 85. Neves L. 90. Moreira R. 9. Niang M. 19. Iheanacho S.	1. Duarte M. (G) 3. Mendes F. 4. Filipe J. 22. Vivas S. 80. Ventura 6. Almeida F. 8. Zangre A. 28. Pedro R. 5. Innusah H. 10. Rodrigues D. 23. Saint-Louis J.
Substitutes
8. Goncalves V. 1. Lemos F. (G) 30. Ninte M. 6. Pinto R. 4. Queta M. 13. Raposo C. 23. Serra S. 96. So S. 52. Xico	88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 90. Arome 7. Conceicao M. 13. Flores R. (G) 58. Meireles A. 2. Ribeiro O. 99. Roger 71. Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Ventura ⚽, Saint-Louis J. (A),
18', Camara M. 🟨,
36', Innusah H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Moreira R. ↓, Xico ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Zangre A. ⚽,
66', Beni D. ↓, Raposo C. ↑,
66', Matos R. ↓, Ninte M. ↑,
66', Innusah H. ↓, Meireles A. ↑,
66', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
77', Camara M. ↓, Serra S. ↑,
77', Neves L. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
82', Rodrigues D. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
82', Ventura ↓, Arome ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Iheanacho S. ⚽,
90+3', Conceicao M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Zangre A. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 4, Arome ⚽, Conceicao M. (A),
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Mafra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amarante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mafra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mafra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Amarante - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 3
11.04.26	Varzim - Mafra	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Mafra - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Mafra - Belenenses	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mafra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.26	Académica Coimbra - Amarante	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Amarante - Varzim	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	União de Santarém - Amarante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
21.02.26	Amarante - Mafra	1:0

Upcoming Matches