Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Mafra		Amora

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.25
	1.72	3.53	5.2
	1.90	3.37	3.99	Watch
	1.74	3.28	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.35 ↑ (3.26)	4.51 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
51.9%

Draw
27.6%

Amora
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Mafra - Amora Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mafra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silva P. (G) 13. Raposo C. 2. Camara M. 3. Alves K. 5. Beni D. 45. Sambu B. 6. Pinto R. (C) 85. Neves L. 8. Goncalves V. 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Niang M.	24. Miguel I. (G) 22. Marques J. 13. Lopes M. 28. Cruz H. 77. Pala F. 48. Caio Ribas 23. Marques F. 8. Antunes M. (C) 99. Ribeiro E. 29. Diop A. 71. Semedo D.
Substitutes
21. Djalo U. 66. Ferreira J. 10. Lucas Gabriel 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V. 90. Moreira R. 99. Ribeiro L. (G) 23. Serra S. 4. Silva P.	19. Barros G. 27. Camara B. 47. Correia H. (G) 3. Correia T. 17. Furtado E. 5. Jonnathan Lima 16. Teixeira P. 21. Traore B. 37. Wendel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Iheanacho S. ⚽, Goncalves V. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Neves L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pala F. ↓, Correia T. ↑,
46', Marques J. ↓, Furtado E. ↑,
61', Caio Ribas ↓, Barros G. ↑,
62', Pinto R. ↓, Lucas Gabriel ↑,
68', Diop A. ↓, Camara B. ↑,
71', Niang M. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
72', Goncalves V. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
76', Iheanacho S. 🟨,
80', Semedo D. ↓, Teixeira P. ↑,
84', Neves L. ↓, Serra S. ↑,
85', Iheanacho S. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Mafra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amora has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mafra is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.25	Mafra - 1 Dezembro	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Caldas - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Celoricense - Mafra	1:0 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Covilhã - Mafra	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Mafra - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLTW
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
04.10.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Amora - Belenenses	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Amora - União de Santarém	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	Belenenses - Amora	1:0 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.25	1 Dezembro - Amora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLT

Mafra - Amora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide