Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.75	Watch
	1.82	4	3.8
	1.68	3.9	4.45	Watch
	1.71	4.15	5.07
	1.7	4.08	4.56	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.6
	1.68	4.03	4.78	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.86)	3.96 ↑ (3.76)	4.6 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
55.5%

Draw
23.9%

Dynamo Dresden
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

24.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

23.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdeburg's performance.

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (2.05) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Magdeburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dynamo Dresden (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (G) 27. Hercher P. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 17. Nollenberger A. 8. Ulrich L. 25. Gnaka S. 21. Michel F. 10. Pesch N. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 13. Pauli J. 39. Keller T. 19. Rossipal A. 6. Amoako K. 18. Wagner R. 7. Ceka J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 10. Lemmer J. 9. Vermeij V.
Substitutes
7. Bockhorn H. 9. Breunig M. 29. Ghrieb R. 15. Heber D. 24. Hugonet J. 30. Kruth N. (G) 36. Millgramm A. 19. Musonda L. 6. Stalmach D.	29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 33. Daferner C. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 28. Risch S. 5. Sapina V.
Coaches
Sander P.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 1 - 0, Zukowski M. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Amoako K. ⚽,
45+2', Muller T. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Keller T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Muller T. ↓, Hugonet J. ↑,
46', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
67', Pesch N. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
75', Lemmer J. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
85', Amoako K. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
85', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
87', Stalmach D. 🟨,
88', Michel F. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
90+3', Ceka J. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
90+3', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
90+5', Ulrich L. ↓, Millgramm A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1.

Magdeburg is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dynamo Dresden has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Magdeburg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Dzogovic E. (Injury) Holmstrom A. (Muscle Injury) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Krempicki C. (Inactive) Loric S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Froling N. (Illness) Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Oehmichen J. (Illness) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

We predict that Magdeburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 3.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
16.01.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Magdeburg - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Kaiserslautern - Magdeburg	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWTW
- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Aarau	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Dynamo Dresden - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2
German 3 Bundesliga
06.02.21	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
10.10.20	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.19	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:1
06.10.18	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
German 3 Bundesliga
16.04.16	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
31.10.15	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	3:2

Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide