Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: MDCC-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Magdeburg		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	5	Watch
	1.62	4.33	4.8
	1.57	4.33	5	Watch
	1.61	4.45	5.27
	1.61	4.45	5.27
	1.55	4.33	4.8	Watch
	1.62	4.45	4.8	Watch
	1.61	4.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	4.37 ↑ (4.31)	4.97 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
59.3%

Draw
21.7%

Osnabrück
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

22%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Magdeburg - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (G) 21. Muller T. 6. Elfadli D. 15. Heber D. 7. Bockhorn H. 25. Gnaka S. 29. Conde A. (C) 19. Bell Bell L. 8. Teixeira B. 26. Schuler L. 23. Atik B.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 5. Ajdini B. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 25. Wiemann N. 3. Kleinhansl F. 27. Cuisance M. 26. Gnaase D. 6. Thalhammer M. 11. Makridis C. 9. Engelhardt E. 7. Niemann N.
Substitutes
10. Ceka J. 4. Dzogovic E. 3. Hoti A. 37. Ito T. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 18. Kuhinja E. 5. Lawrence J. 17. Nollenberger A.	2. Androutsos A. 33. Beermann T. 17. Conteh C. 37. Goiginger T. 1. Grill L. (G) 21. Lobinger L. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.
Coaches
Titz C.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Conde A. 🟨,
40', Thalhammer M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Teixeira B. (Pen),
42', 1 - 1, Gnaase D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Cuisance M. 🟨,
72', Kleinhansl F. 🟨,
75', Gnaase D. 🟨,
77', Schuler L. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
77', Conde A. ↓, Krempicki C. ↑,
77', Thalhammer M. ↓, Androutsos A. ↑,
77', Niemann N. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
83', Bell Bell L. 🟨,
86', Ajdini B. ↓, Goiginger T. ↑,
86', Makridis C. ↓, Wulff J. ↑,
86', Wiemann N. ↓, Wriedt K. O. ↑,
87', Atik B. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 5.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Magdeburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Magdeburg is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Elversberg - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Magdeburg - Hannover	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.24	Union Berlin - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTLL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
20.04.24	Osnabrück - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	4:0 ✺
07.04.24	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Osnabrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.11.23	Osnabrück - Magdeburg	0:2
German 3 Bundesliga
14.05.22	Osnabrück - Magdeburg	1:5
11.12.21	Magdeburg - Osnabrück	2:1
25.03.18	Magdeburg - Osnabrück	2:0
13.10.17	Osnabrück - Magdeburg	0:2
18.02.17	Magdeburg - Osnabrück	3:0
13.08.16	Osnabrück - Magdeburg	3:2

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