Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bulgaria	19:30	Nova Sport
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	12:30	ESPN
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 6
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	17:30	Viaplay
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi Arabia	20:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV3
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:30	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	17:30	Onefootball


	Elversberg		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3.5
	1.8	3.95	3.65	Watch
	1.88	4.2	3.89
	1.79	4.21	3.88	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.85	4.18	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	4.06 ↑ (3.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
51.3%

Draw
23.3%

Magdeburg
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

24.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	6.1%	3%

Elversberg - Magdeburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Elversberg (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Elversberg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 17. Schmahl F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.	1. Reimann D. (C) 27. Hercher P. 16. Mathisen M. 24. Hugonet J. 17. Nollenberger A. 8. Ulrich L. 25. Gnaka S. 6. Stalmach D. 29. Ghrieb R. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 10. Conte B. 43. Keidel F. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C.	7. Bockhorn H. 9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 11. Holmstrom A. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 19. Musonda L. 10. Pesch N. 18. Tachie R.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Sander P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Stalmach D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ulrich L. ↓, Musonda L. ↑,
55', Atik B. 🟨,
60', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
72', Stalmach D. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
73', Ghrieb R. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
73', Gunther L. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
73', Pherai I. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
82', Gyamerah J. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
82', Schmahl F. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
82', Nollenberger A. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Poreba L. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
86', Gnaka S. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Elversberg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Magdeburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Elversberg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Elversberg: Conde A. (Yellow Cards) Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Heber D. (Inactive) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury) Michel F. (Yellow Cards) Muller T. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Magdeburg	9	5	1	3	20:12	8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.26	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
30.01.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:4
19.01.25	Elversberg - Magdeburg	2:5
03.08.24	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:0
06.04.24	Elversberg - Magdeburg	0:0
29.10.23	Magdeburg - Elversberg	1:2

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