Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Elversberg		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3.5
	1.8	3.95	3.65	Watch
	1.88	4.2	3.89
	1.79	4.21	3.88	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.85	4.18	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	4.06 ↑ (3.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
51.3%

Draw
23.3%

Magdeburg
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

24.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	6.1%	3%

Elversberg - Magdeburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Elversberg (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Elversberg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 17. Schmahl F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.	1. Reimann D. (C) 27. Hercher P. 16. Mathisen M. 24. Hugonet J. 17. Nollenberger A. 8. Ulrich L. 25. Gnaka S. 6. Stalmach D. 29. Ghrieb R. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 10. Conte B. 43. Keidel F. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C.	7. Bockhorn H. 9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 11. Holmstrom A. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 19. Musonda L. 10. Pesch N. 18. Tachie R.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Sander P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Stalmach D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ulrich L. ↓, Musonda L. ↑,
55', Atik B. 🟨,
60', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
72', Stalmach D. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
73', Ghrieb R. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
73', Gunther L. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
73', Pherai I. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
82', Gyamerah J. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
82', Schmahl F. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
82', Nollenberger A. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Poreba L. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
86', Gnaka S. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Elversberg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Magdeburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Elversberg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Elversberg: Conde A. (Yellow Cards) Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Heber D. (Inactive) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury) Michel F. (Yellow Cards) Muller T. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 3.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.26	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
30.01.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:4
19.01.25	Elversberg - Magdeburg	2:5
03.08.24	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:0
06.04.24	Elversberg - Magdeburg	0:0
29.10.23	Magdeburg - Elversberg	1:2

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