Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)


	Union Berlin		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.6
	1.57	4.33	4.75
	1.56	4.35	4.6
	1.55	4.36	4.61
	1.5	4.33	4.6
	1.59	4.6	4.87	Watch
	1.58	4.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	4.31 ↑ (4.2)	4.69 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
59.1%

Draw
21.3%

Magdeburg
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Union Berlin - Magdeburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Busk J. (G) 11. Bedia C. 5. Doekhi D. 16. Hollerbach B. 3. Jaeckel P. 31. Knoche R. 33. Kral A. 26. Roussillon J. 29. Tousart L. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 10. Volland K.	1. Reimann D. (G) 23. Atik B. (C) 7. Bockhorn H. 6. Elfadli D. 11. El Hankouri M. 25. Gnaka S. 15. Heber D. 24. Hugonet J. 37. Ito T. 17. Nollenberger A. 26. Schuler L.
Substitutes
39. Arslanogullari B. (G) 42. Engelbreth N. 6. Gosens R. 9. Kaufmann M. 43. Schleinitz T. 44. Scholz J. 14. Vertessen Y. 2. Vogt K.	20. Amaechi X. 19. Bell Bell L. 10. Ceka J. 34. Chahed T. 29. Conde A. 30. Kruth N. (G) 18. Kuhinja E. 5. Lawrence J. 8. Teixeira B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Hollerbach B. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Hollerbach B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Doekhi D. ↓, Vogt K. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Schuler L. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Bedia C. ⚽,
62', Hollerbach B. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
62', Bedia C. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
63', Ito T. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
63', Reimann D. ↓, Kruth N. ↑,
69', Bockhorn H. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
69', Busk J. ↓, Arslanogullari B. ↑,
75', Roussillon J. ↓, Scholz J. ↑,
75', Tousart L. ↓, Engelbreth N. ↑,
75', Trimmel C. ↓, Schleinitz T. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Union Berlin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Magdeburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
16.03.24	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLTW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
17.03.24	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	7:0 ✺
09.03.24	Magdeburg - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Paderborn - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
16.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.07.22	Magdeburg - Union Berlin	1:4
German 2 Bundesliga
12.05.19	Union Berlin - Magdeburg	3:0
09.12.18	Magdeburg - Union Berlin	1:1

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