Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)


	Maidenhead United		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.9
	3.5	3.8	1.95
	3.6	3.75	1.9
	3.39	3.93	1.93
	3.67	3.86	1.87	Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.95
	3.54	3.78	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.67)	3.8 ↓ (4.11)	1.92 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
26.3%

Draw
24.7%

Crawley Town
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

22.9%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

18.7%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maidenhead United's performance.

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Maidenhead United - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maidenhead will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 22. Welch-Hayes M. 4. De Havilland W. 5. Lokko K. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 25. Barratt S. 26. Golding J. 16. Pettit C. 8. Ferguson N. 17. Smith R. 9. McCoulsky S.	1. Wollacott J. (G) 17. Tanimu B. 24. Mullarkey T. 20. Mukena J. 12. Camara P. 8. Holohan G. 4. Bragg C. 19. Kelly J. 29. Showunmi T. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 11. Roles J.
Substitutes
23. Abrahams T. 32. Ajose J. 2. Bell Z. 7. Carvalho R. 19. Cochrane O. 1. Collins H. (G) 10. Ferdinand K. 24. Massey A. 14. Sho-Silva T.	22. Adeyemo A. 6. Anderson M. 7. Forster H. 23. Ibrahim B. 27. Khaleel R. 21. Sheik J. (G) 9. Swan W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Barratt S. ↓, Carvalho R. ↑,
60', Kelly J. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, McCoulsky S. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
71', Tanimu B. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
71', Camara P. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
72', Wollacott J. ↓, Sheik J. ↑,
82', Bragg C. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
90', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
90', Ferguson N. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Mullarkey T. ⚽,
90+9', Latty-Fairweather T. 🟨,
90+10', De Havilland W. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
114', Pettit C. 🟨,
115', Holohan G. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
116', 1 - 2, Showunmi T. ⚽,
117', Smith R. ↓, Sho-Silva T. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Maidenhead is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crawley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crawley will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
26.10.24	Yeovil Town - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Maidenhead United - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.24	Maidenhead United - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Taunton Town - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWT
- Crawley Town
English League One
26.10.24	Northampton Town - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	Crawley Town - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Reading - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
12.10.24	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:5 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

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