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Mainz - Köln: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday
  • Location: Mewa Arena (Mainz)
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Mainz Köln
    Mainz Köln
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.93 ↑
    (1.81)    		 3.66 ↓
    (3.79)    		 3.89 ↓
    (4.23)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Mainz
    49.4%    		Draw
    26%    		Köln
    24.5%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    52.5% 25.1% 22.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    58.8% 38.2% 2.9%

    Mainz - Köln Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Köln will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 38.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 42.3% – 75.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 5 - 50%). Köln (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    27. GermanyZentner R. (G)
    21. Germanyda Costa D.
    25. NorwayHanche-Olsen A.
    31. GermanyKohr D.
    19. FranceCaci A.
      6. JapanSano K.
    10. GermanyAmiri N. (C)
      2. AustriaMwene P.
      8. GermanyNebel P.
      7. SouthLee Jae-Sung
    17. GermanyHollerbach B.
    		  1. GermanySchwabe M. (C)
      2. SwitzerlandSchmied J.
      4. GermanyHubers T.
      5. GermanyKrauss T.
    28. NorwaySebulonsen S.
    18. IcelandJohannesson I.
      6. GermanyMartel E.
    32. USALund K.
    29. GermanyThielmann J.
    16. PolandKaminski J.
    30. GermanyBulter M.
    Substitutes
    16. GermanyBell S.
    37. GermanyBobzien B.
      5. GermanyLeitsch M.
    15. USAMaloney L.
      9. FranceNordin A.
      1. GermanyRiess L. (G)
    11. GermanySieb A.
    44. GermanyWeiper N.
    30. SwitzerlandWidmer S.
    		  9. GermanyAche R.
    13. GermanyEl Mala S.
    25. BosniaGazibegovic J.
      8. BosniaHuseinbasic D.
    11. AustriaKainz F.
    39. TurkeyOzkacar C.
    33. Netherlandsvan den Berg R.
      7. GermanyWaldschmidt L.
    20. GermanyZieler R. (G)
    Coaches
         DenmarkHenriksen B.
    		     GermanyKwasniok L.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 15', Hollerbach B. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
    • 27', Lund K. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 60', Nebel P. 🟥,
    • 62', Henriksen B. 🟨,
    • 65', Hanche-Olsen A. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
    • 65', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
    • 65', Caci A. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
    • 67', Krauss T. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
    • 67', Lund K. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
    • 67', Thielmann J. ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,
    • 74', Sebulonsen S. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
    • 80', Johannesson I. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
    • 81', Schmied J. 🟨,
    • 90', 0 - 1, Bulter M. ⚽, Waldschmidt L. (A),
    • 90+3', Kohr D. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
  • Mainz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Köln is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Mainz is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury)
  • There will not play in Köln: Dietz F. (Broken collarbone)
  • There are questionable in Köln: Christensen J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Pauli J. (Ankle Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Mainz 05
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    21.08.25 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    German DFB Pokal
    18.08.25 Dynamo Dresden - Mainz 0:1 ✺
    Club Friendly
    09.08.25 Mainz - Strasbourg 0:0 ✺
    25.07.25 Mainz - Seekirchen 5:0 ✺
    16.07.25 Saarbrücken - Mainz 1:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5
    LWTWW
    - 1. FC Köln
    German DFB Pokal
    17.08.25 Jahn Regensburg - Köln 1:2 ✺
    Club Friendly
    09.08.25 Köln - Atalanta 4:0 ✺
    25.07.25 Köln - Leicester City 3:1 ✺
    18.07.25 Fortuna Köln - Köln 2:2 ✺
    12.07.25 Bergisch Gladbach - Köln 1:7 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6
    WWWTW
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    28.04.24 Mainz - Köln 1:1
    10.12.23 Köln - Mainz 0:0
    15.04.23 Köln - Mainz 1:1
    21.10.22 Mainz - Köln 5:0
    09.04.22 Köln - Mainz 3:2
    21.11.21 Mainz - Köln 1:1
    11.04.21 Köln - Mainz 2:3
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Mainz 05
    German Bundesliga
    10.10.26 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen ✺
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    16.10.26 Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln ✺
    11.10.26 Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach ✺

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