Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mewa Arena (Mainz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	Selekt, Sport 2
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 5
Myanmar	01:30	Canal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus


	Mainz		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.35	3.2	3.3
	2.37	3.2	3.35
	2.3	3.35	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.41	3.33	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)	3.25 ↓ (3.52)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
41.3%

Draw
29%

Strasbourg
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.8%	26.5%	11.8%

Mainz - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 21 - 63.6%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 47.2% – 80%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Strasbourg (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Mainz (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 3 - 75%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Batz D. (G) 21. da Costa D. 4. Posch S. 31. Kohr D. 30. Widmer S. (C) 8. Nebel P. 6. Sano K. 24. Kawasaki S. 2. Mwene P. 44. Weiper N. 20. Tietz P.	39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 2. Omobamidele A. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 32. Barco V. 8. Oyedele M. 29. El Mourabet S. 19. Enciso J. 80. Yassine G. 20. Godo M.
Substitutes
35. Babatz L. (G) 14. Boving W. 42. Gleiber D. 34. Imafidon D. 15. Maloney L. 36. Moreno Fell F. 48. Potulski K. 1. Riess L. (G) 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 38. Bosey J. 10. Emegha E. 24. Hogsberg L. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 60. Kerckaert G. (G) 37. Kodia G. 83. Luis R. 7. Moreira D. 11. Nanasi S.
Coaches
Fischer U.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sano K. ⚽, Kawasaki S. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Posch S. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
31', Doue G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Oyedele M. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
64', Yassine G. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
69', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
69', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
70', Kawasaki S. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
80', Widmer S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
85', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
89', Nebel P. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
90+5', Posch S. 🟨,
90+5', Moreira D. 🟨,
90+5', Sieb A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Mainz has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Strasbourg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mainz could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Mainz: Becker S. (Inactive) Bos K. (Inactive) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Silas (Broken shinbone) Tauer N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Moreira D. (Groin Injury) Mwanga J. (Shoulder Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Ouattara A. (Back Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Mainz - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Hoffenheim - Mainz	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Mainz - Sigma Olomouc	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
15.03.26	Werder Bremen - Mainz	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Mainz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWT
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
04.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Nantes - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Strasbourg - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Rijeka - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mainz - Strasbourg	0:0

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