Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Makhtaaral		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.17	3	3.57
	1.94	2.91	3.57
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.03	3.08	3.78	Watch
	2.06	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.7)	2.99 ↓ (3.07)	3.54 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Makhtaaral
43.8%

Draw
30.4%

Kyzylzhar
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

30.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Makhtaaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Makhtaaral's performance.

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyzylzhar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Makhtaaral than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Makhtaaral that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyzylzhar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Makhtaaral - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kalmykov N. (G) 12. Braga V. 96. Charleston 23. Dobay A. 81. Karimov R. (C) 77. Pairuz Z. 6. Parunashvili L. 55. Potapov E. 8. Shramchenko A. 13. Tursynbay S. 5. Yudenkov R.	1. Babakhanov D. (G) 8. Bushman Y. 9. Chikanchi M. 55. Graf I. 19. Imnadze L. 3. Naumov N. 24. Podio P. 14. Saulet A. 12. Shadmanov B. 16. Shakhmetov M. 11. Tapalov E. (C)
Substitutes
21. Aripov D. 31. Duyseshov S. 1. Hayrapetyan A. (G) 30. Kone D. 9. Mukhamed A. 7. Newadzi S. 70. Sagnayev S. 53. Sebaihi B. 14. Serikbay M. 91. Zhangaliev Z. (G) 11. Zhangylyshbay T.	2. Adilov A. 73. Kumarov A. 7. Muldinov T. 6. Ospanov R. 32. Petrov V. (G) 25. Stepanov R. (G) 21. Veselinovic M. 4. Zyabko V.
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.	Aliyev A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 5).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Kyzylzhar have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Makhtaaral won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Makhtaaral won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Makhtaaral
Kazakh Premier League
05.10.23	Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Atyrau - Makhtaaral	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Ordabasy - Makhtaaral	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Makhtaaral - Aksu	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Makhtaaral	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWW
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
01.10.23	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	1:2 ✺
27.09.23	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Kyzylzhar - Aksu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
10.03.23	Kyzylzhar - Makhtaaral	1:0
15.09.22	Makhtaaral - Kyzylzhar	1:1
27.04.22	Kyzylzhar - Makhtaaral	1:1
Kazakh First League
28.09.19	Kyzylzhar - Makhtaaral	3:0
Kazakh Cup
01.04.17	Kyzylzhar - Makhtaaral	1:1

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