Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 5

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Maldives	Medianet, TVM, Yes
Philippines	Cignal Play, One Sports, One Sports+, Pilipinas Live


	Maldives		Philippines

	1	X	2
	23	9.5	1.08	Watch
	28	7.4	1.1	Watch
	14.94	7.38	1.1
	11.43	5.76	1.23	Watch
	40	10.6	1.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	23.47 ↑ (9.6)	8.13 ↑ (5.6)	1.12 ↓ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maldives
4%

Draw
11.6%

Philippines
84.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.3%

15.9%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maldives has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maldives's form might have worsened.

Philippines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philippines's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Maldives - Philippines Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maldives will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Philippines will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldives (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Philippines (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Faisal M. (G) Da Grande 12. Aiham A. Maziya 8. Aisham I. Maziya 2. Ali S. (C) Maziya 14. Hassan H. Maziya 5. Irufaan M. Maziya 17. Mahudhee Hussain I. Club Eagles 10. Mohamed H. Maziya 9. Naiz H. Maziya 23. Nihaan H. Maziya 19. Rizuvan A. Club Eagles	1. Mendoza K. (G) Chonburi 12. Aguinaldo A. (C) DPMM 14. Baccay J. Odds BK 9. Gayoso J. Bangkok FC 10. Kristensen B. KFUM Oslo 7. Leipold A. Helmond Sport 8. Ott Ma. Rayong FC 6. Reyes S. Gutersloh 11. Schneider R. Winterthur 4. Tabinas J. Chonburi 3. Tabinas P. Vukovar 1991
Substitutes
18. Aleen I. (G) Maziya 15. Choatu Maziya 7. Fasir A. Maziya 4. Gasim T. 13. Haisham H. 3. Hisam S. Club Eagles 11. Raif H. Maziya 16. Rasheed A. 1. Shareef H. (G) Maziya 20. Shifaz H. Maziya 6. Usamaa I. 21. Zaki E.	18. Demuynck D. Lierse SK 15. Guimaraes N. (G) 16. Kammeraad Q. (G) Kuala Lumpur City 20. Kekkonen O. Lamphun Warrior 5. Kike Linares Chonburi 2. Leddel N. Cebu FC 22. Lucero J. Kanchanaburi 13. Monis A. New England Revolution 17. Muens G. Kaya FC 23. Rasmussen S. 21. Woods S. Kuching City FC

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Tabinas J. ⚽, Schneider R. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Reyes S. ⚽, Gayoso J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, Philippines is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldives won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maldives
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Maldives - Tajikistan	0:3 ✺
09.10.25	Tajikistan - Maldives	2:0 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	0:3 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWL
- Philippines
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Philippines - Timor-Leste	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:4 ✺
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2 ✺
25.03.25	Philippines - Maldives	4:1 ✺
ASEAN Championship
30.12.24	Thailand - Philippines	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
25.03.25	Philippines - Maldives	4:1
FIFA World Cup
15.06.21	Philippines - Maldives	1:1
14.11.19	Maldives - Philippines	1:2
Friendly
03.09.15	Philippines - Maldives	2:0
AFC Challenge Cup
27.05.14	Philippines - Maldives	3:2 ET

Maldives - Philippines: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide