Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 6

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: National Stadium (Male)

Where to Watch on TV:


Maldives	Medianet, TVM, Yes
Timor-leste	RTTL


	Maldives		Timor-Leste

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.43	2.87	3.09
	2.28	3.25	3.08	Watch
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.21	3.25	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.64)	3.07 ↓ (3.59)	3.22 ↓ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maldives
41.2%

Draw
30.1%

Timor-Leste
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58%

26.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maldives has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maldives's form might have worsened.

Timor-Leste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timor-Leste's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Maldives - Timor Leste Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Maldives will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Timor-Leste will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maldives: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Faisal M. (G) Da Grande 13. Abdulla A. New Radiant 6. Aiham A. 12. Aiham A. Maziya 8. Aisham I. Maziya 2. Ali S. (C) Maziya 14. Hassan H. Maziya 21. Hassan I. 5. Irufaan M. Maziya 17. Mahudhee Hussain I. Club Eagles 9. Naiz H. Maziya	1. Niski D. (G) Western City Rangers 19. Bakhito A. 23. Bianco R. 16. Carvalho N. 4. Correia A. 18. Filomeno Junior 21. Freitas Gali (C) Persebaya 10. Joao Pedro Kuching City FC 11. Mouzinho Igalo 15. Santiago da Costa 22. Viegas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Freitas Gali ↓, Rangel J. ↑,
46', Mouzinho ↓, Cruz Z. ↑,
46', Mahudhee Hussain I. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
56', Naiz H. 🟨,
60', Aiham A. ↓, Sifaau H. ↑,
60', Hassan I. ↓, Haafiz A. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Bakhito A. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
79', Naiz H. ↓, Ashfaq A. ↑,
80', Bianco R. ↓, Farrugia L. ↑,
80', Joao Pedro ↓, Arrarte T. ↑,
83', Haafiz A. 🟨,
89', Bakhito A. ↓, Madeira J. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Irufaan M. ⚽,
90', Filomeno Junior 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Fasir A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Ashfaq A. 🟨,
90+7', Filomeno Junior 🟨,

Preview

Maldives will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maldives won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maldives
Asian Cup
18.11.25	Maldives - Philippines	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Maldives - Tajikistan	0:3 ✺
09.10.25	Tajikistan - Maldives	2:0 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTW
- Timor-Leste
Asian Cup
18.11.25	Timor-Leste - Tajikistan	0:5 ✺
14.10.25	Philippines - Timor-Leste	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:4 ✺
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Tajikistan - Timor-Leste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0

Maldives - Timor-Leste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide