Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Malmö		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.7
	1.87	3.60	3.80
	1.92	3.6	3.6
	1.92	3.89	4.06
	1.88	3.91	3.99	Watch
	1.86	3.85	3.9
	1.85	3.72	3.88	Watch
	1.84	3.7	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.75 ↓ (3.97)	3.84 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
50.3%

Draw
25.2%

Elfsborg
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.8%	12.2%	0%

Malmö - Elfsborg Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (43 of 49 users predict this - 87.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 96.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsen R. (C) 17. Stryger J. 5. Djuric A. 44. Palsson M. 23. John N. 7. Rosengren O. 29. Haksabanovic S. 47. Lundbergh T. 37. Skogmar A. 45. Hoog A. 20. Botheim E.	31. Pettersson I. (G) 16. Jensen A. 8. Holmen S. (C) 4. Isherwood T. 23. Hult N. 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 29. Kamara M. 19. Beck J. 9. Zeneli A. 21. Ostman L.
Substitutes
39. Assibu I. 25. Busanello 9. Garcia D. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 2. Karlsson J. 4. Kurtulus B. 28. Milosavljevic J. 50. Nieroth W. (G) 19. Rosler C.	28. Aronsson F. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 25. Gunnarsson G. 15. Hedlund S. 24. Ihler F. 22. Krasniqi D. 2. Mohammed R. 12. Sander T. (G) 6. Wikstrom R.
Coaches
Helstrup G.	Hamberg B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Zeneli A. ⚽, Magnusson J. (A),
21', Holmen S. ↓, Wikstrom R. ↑,
22', 1 - 1, Stryger J. ⚽, John N. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Kamara M. ⚽, Zeneli A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lundbergh T. ↓, Assibu I. ↑,
61', Stryger J. 🟨,
69', Botheim E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
69', John N. ↓, Busanello ↑,
73', Palsson M. 🟥,
76', Hoog A. ↓, Kurtulus B. ↑,
76', Ostman L. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
76', Zeneli A. ↓, Hedlund S. ↑,
79', Busanello 🟨,
79', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
84', Stryger J. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
84', Djuric A. 🟨,
85', Jensen A. ↓, Mohammed R. ↑,
85', Kamara M. ↓, Aronsson F. ↑,
89', Pettersson I. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.

Malmö is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elfsborg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Malmö is the team to beat.

There will not play in Malmö: Busanello (Inactive) Busuladzic K. (Yellow Cards) Christiansen A. (Leg Injury) Jansson P. (Knee Injury) Karabelyov Y. (Inactive) Sjostrand O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Broken ankle)

We predict that Malmö will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31:22	9	37
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.26	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	4:0 ✺
04.07.26	Degerfors - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Malmö - Midtjylland	2:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	Malmö - Halmstad	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTW
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.07.26	Elfsborg - Sirius	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	GAIS - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Elfsborg - Hammarby	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.26	Fredrikstad - Elfsborg	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.26	Örgryte - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.25	Elfsborg - Malmö	2:2
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
10.03.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:0 ET
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.24	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1
05.05.24	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:1
12.11.23	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:0
28.05.23	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:0

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